A pluralist approach to epistemic dilemmas in event attribution science

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Thorén, HenrikLund University,Lunds universitet,Teoretisk filosofi,Filosofiska institutionen,Institutioner,Humanistiska och teologiska fakulteterna,Theoretical Philosophy,Department of Philosophy,Departments,Joint Faculties of Humanities and Theology (författare)

A pluralist approach to epistemic dilemmas in event attribution science

Artikel/kapitelEngelska2021

Förlag, utgivningsår, omfång ...

2021-11-25
Springer Science and Business Media LLC,2021

Nummerbeteckningar

LIBRIS-ID:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:0a172b01-1717-4f14-8826-bfcb085109b8
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/0a172b01-1717-4f14-8826-bfcb085109b8URI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03263-1DOI

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Språk:engelska
Sammanfattning på:engelska &svenska

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In recent years, a dispute has arisen within detection and attribution science concerning the appropriate methodology for associating individual weather events with anthropogenic climate change. In recent contributions, it has been highlighted that this conflict is seemingly misconstrued even by those participating in it and actually concerns a mixture of first and second order so-called inductive risk considerations—in short, it is about values and the role values should have in science. In this paper, we analyze this methodological conflict and examine the inductive risk considerations and argue that there is also another dimension to consider with respect to values that have to do with what detection and attribution science is for. We suggest a framework for understanding this as a kind of problem-feeding situation and thus an issue of problem–solution coordination between different contexts, where the problem is solved versus where the solution is put to use. This has important implications, not least for whether we should understand this conflict as a genuine methodological one or not.
In recent years, a dispute has arisen within detection and attribution science concerning the appropriate methodology for associating individual weather events with anthropogenic cli- mate change. In recent contributions, it has been highlighted that this conflict is seemingly misconstrued even by those participating in it and actually concerns a mixture of first and second order so-called inductive risk considerations—in short, it is about values and the role values should have in science. In this paper, we analyze this methodological conflict and examine the inductive risk considerations and argue that there is also another dimen- sion to consider with respect to values that have to do with what detection and attribution science is for. We suggest a framework for understanding this as a kind of problem-feeding situation and thus an issue of problem–solution coordination between different contexts, where the problem is solved versus where the solution is put to use. This has important implications, not least for whether we should understand this conflict as a genuine meth- odological one or not.

Ämnesord och genrebeteckningar

HUMANIORA Filosofi, etik och religion Filosofi hsv//swe
HUMANITIES Philosophy, Ethics and Religion Philosophy hsv//eng
SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP Sociologi Sociologi hsv//swe
SOCIAL SCIENCES Sociology Sociology hsv//eng
Detection and attribution
Inductive risk
Pluralism
Problem-feeding
Type III errors

Biuppslag (personer, institutioner, konferenser, titlar ...)

Persson, JohannesLund University,Lunds universitet,Teoretisk filosofi,Filosofiska institutionen,Institutioner,Humanistiska och teologiska fakulteterna,Theoretical Philosophy,Department of Philosophy,Departments,Joint Faculties of Humanities and Theology(Swepub:lu)fil-jpe (författare)
Olsson, LennartLund University,Lunds universitet,LUCSUS,Samhällsvetenskapliga institutioner och centrumbildningar,Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten,LUCSUS (Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies),Departments of Administrative, Economic and Social Sciences,Faculty of Social Sciences(Swepub:lu)micl-lol (författare)
Teoretisk filosofiFilosofiska institutionen (creator_code:org_t)

Sammanhörande titlar

Ingår i:Climatic Change: Springer Science and Business Media LLC169:1-20165-00091573-1480

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Av författaren/redakt...: Thorén, Henrik; Persson, Johanne ...; Olsson, Lennart

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HUMANIORA: HUMANIORA; och Filosofi etik oc ...; och Filosofi

SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP: SAMHÄLLSVETENSKA ...; och Sociologi; och Sociologi

Artiklar i publikationen: Climatic Change

Av lärosätet: Lunds universitet

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