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Towards evolutionary predictions : current promises and challenges

Wortel, Meike T. (författare)
Swammerdam Institute for Life Sciences, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Agashe, Deepa (författare)
National Centre for Biological Sciences, Bangalore, India
Bailey, Susan F. (författare)
Clarkson University, NY, Potsdam, United States
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Bank, Claudia (författare)
Institute of Ecology and Evolution, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Lausanne, Switzerland; Gulbenkian Science Institute, Oeiras, Portugal
Bisschop, Karen (författare)
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Origins Center, Groningen, Netherlands; Laboratory of Aquatic Biology, KU Leuven Kulak, Kortrijk, Belgium
Blankers, Thomas (författare)
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands; Origins Center, Groningen, Netherlands
Cairns, Johannes (författare)
University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
Colizzi, Enrico Sandro (författare)
Origins Center, Groningen, Netherlands; Mathematical Institute, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
Cusseddu, Davide (författare)
Instituto Gulbenkian de Ciência, Oeiras, Portugal
Desai, Michael M. (författare)
Harvard University, MA, Cambridge, United States
van Dijk, Bram (författare)
Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Biology, Plön, Germany
Egas, Martijn (författare)
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Ellers, Jacintha (författare)
Department of Ecological Science, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Groot, Astrid T. (författare)
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Heckel, David G. (författare)
Max Planck Institute for Chemical Ecology, Jena, Germany
Johnson, Marcelle L. (författare)
Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, Netherlands
Kraaijeveld, Ken (författare)
Leiden Centre for Applied Bioscience, University of Applied Sciences Leiden, Leiden, Netherlands
Krug, Joachim (författare)
Institute for Biological Physics, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
Laan, Liedewij (författare)
Department of Bionanoscience, Kavli Institute of Nanoscience, TU Delft, Delft, Netherlands
Lässig, Michael (författare)
Institute for Biological Physics, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany
Lind, Peter A (författare)
Umeå universitet,Institutionen för molekylärbiologi (Teknisk-naturvetenskaplig fakultet)
Meijer, Jeroen (författare)
Theoretical Biology and Bioinformatics, Department of Biology, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands
Noble, Luke M. (författare)
Institute de Biologie, École Normale Supérieure, CNRS, Inserm, Paris, France
Okasha, Samir (författare)
University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
Rainey, Paul B. (författare)
Department of Microbial Population Biology, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Biology, Plön, Germany; Laboratoire Biophysique et Évolution, CBI, ESPCI Paris, Université PSL, CNRS, Paris, France
Rozen, Daniel E. (författare)
Institute of Biology, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
Shitut, Shraddha (författare)
Origins Center, Groningen, Netherlands; Institute of Biology, Leiden University, Leiden, Netherlands
Tans, Sander J. (författare)
AMOLF, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Tenaillon, Olivier (författare)
Université Paris Cité, IAME, UMR 1137, INSERM, Paris, France
Teotónio, Henrique (författare)
Institut de Biologie de l'Ecole Normale Supérieure, Paris, France
de Visser, J. Arjan G. M. (författare)
Laboratory of Genetics, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, Netherlands
Visser, Marcel E. (författare)
Department of Animal Ecology, Netherlands Institute of Ecology (NIOO-KNAW), Wageningen, Netherlands
Vroomans, Renske M. A. (författare)
Origins Center, Groningen, Netherlands; Informatics Institute, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands
Werner, Gijsbert D. A. (författare)
Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
Wertheim, Bregje (författare)
Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
Pennings, Pleuni S. (författare)
San Francisco State University, CA, San Francisco, United States
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2022-12-09
2023
Engelska.
Ingår i: Evolutionary Applications. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 1752-4571. ; 16:1, s. 3-21
Relaterad länk:
https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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  • Forskningsöversikt (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
Stäng  
  • Evolution has traditionally been a historical and descriptive science, and predicting future evolutionary processes has long been considered impossible. However, evolutionary predictions are increasingly being developed and used in medicine, agriculture, biotechnology and conservation biology. Evolutionary predictions may be used for different purposes, such as to prepare for the future, to try and change the course of evolution or to determine how well we understand evolutionary processes. Similarly, the exact aspect of the evolved population that we want to predict may also differ. For example, we could try to predict which genotype will dominate, the fitness of the population or the extinction probability of a population. In addition, there are many uses of evolutionary predictions that may not always be recognized as such. The main goal of this review is to increase awareness of methods and data in different research fields by showing the breadth of situations in which evolutionary predictions are made. We describe how diverse evolutionary predictions share a common structure described by the predictive scope, time scale and precision. Then, by using examples ranging from SARS-CoV2 and influenza to CRISPR-based gene drives and sustainable product formation in biotechnology, we discuss the methods for predicting evolution, the factors that affect predictability and how predictions can be used to prevent evolution in undesirable directions or to promote beneficial evolution (i.e. evolutionary control). We hope that this review will stimulate collaboration between fields by establishing a common language for evolutionary predictions.

Ämnesord

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Biologi -- Evolutionsbiologi (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Biological Sciences -- Evolutionary Biology (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

disease modelling
evolution
evolutionary control
models
population genetics
predictability
prediction

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