Key Drivers and Future Scenarios of Local Energy and Flexibility Markets

• This paper explores the key drivers of local energy and flexibility markets, develops a set of plausible future scenarios for these markets, and analyzes the scenarios' impact. The results can provide insight to policymakers, researchers, system operators, and aggregators in a better design and more successful implementation of local markets. This study is based on the well-established scenario planning technique of "intuitive logics"and it is conducted by means of qualitative methods, surveys, and cross-impact analysis. Results explore and rank the impact and uncertainty of 20 key factors and trends which can affect the future of local energy and flexibility markets. The results show that factors related to the availability of active and smart end-users, and regulatory incentives are the most impactful and uncertain ones in the future of local markets. Four future scenarios are introduced based on these factors and their impacts are discussed.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Naturresursteknik -- Annan naturresursteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Environmental Engineering -- Other Environmental Engineering (hsv//eng)

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Samhällsbyggnadsteknik -- Miljöanalys och bygginformationsteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Civil Engineering -- Environmental Analysis and Construction Information Technology (hsv//eng)

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Naturresursteknik -- Energisystem (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Environmental Engineering -- Energy Systems (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

scenario planning

Local flexibility markets

flexibility

aggregator

distribution system operator

local energy markets

service market

Publikations- och innehållstyp

kon (ämneskategori)

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