L773:1993 2820 OR L773:1819 6357
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COVID-19 epidemic in Libya
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- Bredan, Amin (author)
- Ghent University
-
- Bakoush, Omran (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Njurfysiologi och peritonealdialys,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Renal physiology and peritoneal dialysis,Lund University Research Groups,United Arab Emirates University
- (creator_code:org_t)
- 2021-01-06
- 2021
- English.
- In: Libyan Journal of Medicine. - : Informa UK Limited. - 1993-2820 .- 1819-6357. ; 16:1
- Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract
Subject headings
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- The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress.
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap -- Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences -- Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- COVID-19
- epidemic spread
- Libya
- modeling
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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