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Sökning: WFRF:(Siegfried Werner) > The year-long unpre...

LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00003992naa a2200685 4500
001oai:DiVA.org:su-107019
003SwePub
008140902s2014 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
0247 a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-1070192 URI
0247 a https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1184-22 DOI
040 a (SwePub)su
041 a engb eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
1001 a Wetter, Oliver4 aut
2451 0a The year-long unprecedented European heat and drought of 1540-a worst case
264 c 2014-06-28
264 1b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2014
338 a print2 rdacarrier
500 a AuthorCount:32;
520 a The heat waves of 2003 in Western Europe and 2010 in Russia, commonly labelled as rare climatic anomalies outside of previous experience, are often taken as harbingers of more frequent extremes in the global warming-influenced future. However, a recent reconstruction of spring-summer temperatures for WE resulted in the likelihood of significantly higher temperatures in 1540. In order to check the plausibility of this result we investigated the severity of the 1540 drought by putting forward the argument of the known soil desiccation-temperature feedback. Based on more than 300 first-hand documentary weather report sources originating from an area of 2 to 3 million km(2), we show that Europe was affected by an unprecedented 11-month-long Megadrought. The estimated number of precipitation days and precipitation amount for Central and Western Europe in 1540 is significantly lower than the 100-year minima of the instrumental measurement period for spring, summer and autumn. This result is supported by independent documentary evidence about extremely low river flows and Europe-wide wild-, forest- and settlement fires. We found that an event of this severity cannot be simulated by state-of-the-art climate models.
650 7a SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAPx Ekonomi och näringslivx Ekonomisk historia0 (SwePub)502032 hsv//swe
650 7a SOCIAL SCIENCESx Economics and Businessx Economic History0 (SwePub)502032 hsv//eng
7001 a Pfister, Christian4 aut
7001 a Werner, Johannes P.4 aut
7001 a Zorita, Eduardo4 aut
7001 a Wagner, Sebastian4 aut
7001 a Seneviratne, Sonia I.4 aut
7001 a Herget, Juergen4 aut
7001 a Gruenewald, Uwe4 aut
7001 a Luterbacher, Juerg4 aut
7001 a Alcoforado, Maria-Joao4 aut
7001 a Barriendos, Mariano4 aut
7001 a Bieber, Ursula4 aut
7001 a Brazdil, Rudolf4 aut
7001 a Burmeister, Karl H.4 aut
7001 a Camenisch, Chantal4 aut
7001 a Contino, Antonio4 aut
7001 a Dobrovolny, Petr4 aut
7001 a Glaser, Ruediger4 aut
7001 a Himmelsbach, Iso4 aut
7001 a Kiss, Andrea4 aut
7001 a Kotyza, Oldrich4 aut
7001 a Labbe, Thomas4 aut
7001 a Limanowka, Danuta4 aut
7001 a Litzenburger, Laurent4 aut
7001 a Nordl, Oyvind4 aut
7001 a Pribyl, Kathleen4 aut
7001 a Retsö, Dagu Stockholms universitet,Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen4 aut0 (Swepub:su)retso
7001 a Riemann, Dirk4 aut
7001 a Rohr, Christian4 aut
7001 a Siegfried, Werner4 aut
7001 a Söderberg, Johanu Stockholms universitet,Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen4 aut0 (Swepub:su)jos
7001 a Spring, Jean-Laurent4 aut
7102 a Stockholms universitetb Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen4 org
7730 t Climatic Changed : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 125:3-4, s. 349-363q 125:3-4<349-363x 0165-0009x 1573-1480
8564 u https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/bitstream/20.500.11850/86091/2/Wetter2014_Article_TheYear-longUnprecedentedEurop.pdf
8564 8u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-107019
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1184-2

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