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Towards a better future for biodiversity and people : Modelling Nature Futures

Kim, HyeJin (author)
Peterson, Garry, 1969- (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Cheung, William W. L. (author)
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Ferrier, Simon (author)
Alkemade, Rob (author)
Arneth, Almut (author)
Kuiper, Jan J. (author)
Okayasu, Sana (author)
Pereira, Laura (author)
Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre
Acosta, Lilibeth A. (author)
Chaplin-Kramer, Rebecca (author)
den Belder, Eefje (author)
Eddy, Tyler D. (author)
Johnson, Justin A. (author)
Karlsson-Vinkhuyzen, Sylvia (author)
Kok, Marcel T. J. (author)
Leadley, Paul (author)
Leclere, David (author)
Lundquist, Carolyn J. (author)
Rondinini, Carlo (author)
Scholes, Robert J. (author)
Schoolenberg, Machteld A. (author)
Shin, Yunne-Jai (author)
Stehfest, Elke (author)
Stephenson, Fabrice (author)
Visconti, Piero (author)
van Vuuren, Detlef (author)
Wabnitz, Colette C. C. (author)
Alava, Juan Jose (author)
Cuadros-Casanova, Ivon (author)
Davies, Kathryn K. (author)
Gasalla, Maria A. (author)
Halouani, Ghassen (author)
Harfoot, Mike (author)
Hashimoto, Shizuka (author)
Hickler, Thomas (author)
Hirsch, Tim (author)
Kolomytsev, Grigory (author)
Miller, Brian W. (author)
Ohashi, Haruka (author)
Palomo, Maria Gabriela (author)
Popp, Alexander (author)
Remme, Roy Paco (author)
Saito, Osamu (author)
Sumalia, U. Rashid (author)
Willcock, Simon (author)
Pereira, Henrique M. (author)
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2023
2023
English.
In: Global Environmental Change. - 0959-3780 .- 1872-9495. ; 82
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature - Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative scenarios: i) multiple value perspectives on nature as a state space where pathways improving nature toward a frontier can be represented, ii) mutually reinforcing key feedbacks of social-ecological systems that are important for nature conservation and human wellbeing, iii) indicators of multiple knowledge systems describing the evolution of complex social-ecological dynamics. We then present three approaches to modelling Nature Futures scenarios in the review, screening, and design phases of policy processes. This paper seeks to facilitate the integration of relational values of nature in models and strengthen modelled linkages across biodiversity, nature's contributions to people, and quality of life.

Subject headings

SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP  -- Social och ekonomisk geografi (hsv//swe)
SOCIAL SCIENCES  -- Social and Economic Geography (hsv//eng)
NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)

Keyword

Scenario analysis
Biodiversity
Conservation
Sustainability
Values
Futures

Publication and Content Type

ref (subject category)
art (subject category)

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