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Recent recovery of ...
Recent recovery of the boreal spring sensible heating over the Tibetan Plateau will continue in CMIP6 future projections
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Wang, Meirong (author)
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Wang, Jun (author)
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- Chen, Deliang, 1961 (author)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för geovetenskaper,Department of Earth Sciences
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Duan, Anmin (author)
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Liu, Yimin (author)
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Zhou, Shunwu (author)
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Guo, Dong (author)
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Wang, Hengmao (author)
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Ju, Weimin (author)
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2019-12-16
- 2019
- English.
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In: Environmental Research Letters. - : IOP Publishing. - 1748-9326. ; 14:12, s. 1-9
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Abstract
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- The spring sensible heating (SH) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) serves as a huge 'air pump', significantly influencing the Asian summer monsoon, has experienced a decreasing trend. However, it remains unclear whether this decline will continue. Therefore, we here examine the long-term trends of spring SH over the central and eastern TP (CETP) based on a meteorological station-based calculated SH dataset, and CMIP6 multi-model simulations. These two sources confirmed the previous finding that the SH peaks in May. Further, we find that the declining SH was replaced by a fast recovery after approximate 2000 in the station-based SH. This is to some extent verified by the historical simulations of CMIP6 models. Importantly, CMIP6 future projections suggest that this increasing trend will continue, and get stronger with higher radiative forcing from SSP126 to SSP585. Mechanism analysis indicates that the previous decreasing trend in SH was mainly caused by the decline of 10 m wind speed, while the recent and future increasing trend results from the rising ground-air temperature difference. We suggest that this increasing trend of spring SH over the CETP may serve as an alternative driver for the enhancement of the East Asian summer monsoon in the future.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Wang, Meirong
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Wang, Jun
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Chen, Deliang, 1 ...
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Duan, Anmin
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Liu, Yimin
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Zhou, Shunwu
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show more...
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Guo, Dong
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Wang, Hengmao
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Ju, Weimin
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show less...
- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
- Articles in the publication
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Environmental Re ...
- By the university
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University of Gothenburg