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Progress in regional downscaling of west African precipitation

Paeth, Heiko (author)
Hall, Nicholas M.J. (author)
Gaertner, Miguel Angel (author)
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Alonso, Marta Dominque (author)
Moumouni, Sounmaila (author)
Polcher, Jan (author)
Ruti, Paolo M. (author)
Fink, Andreas H. (author)
Gosset, Marielle (author)
Lebel, Thierry (author)
Gaye, Amadou T. (author)
Rowell, David P. (author)
Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran (author)
Jacob, Daniela (author)
Rockel, Burkhardt (author)
Giorgi, Filippo (author)
Rummukainen, Markku (author)
Lund University,Lunds universitet,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science
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 (creator_code:org_t)
2011-02-22
2011
English.
In: Atmospheric Science Letters. - : Wiley. - 1530-261X. ; 12:1, s. 75-82
  • Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract Subject headings
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  • We review the recent progress in dynamical and statistical downscaling approaches for west African precipitation and perform a regional climate model (RCM) intercomparison using the novel multi-model RCM data set from the Ensembles-based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES) and African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (AMMA) projects. Present RCMs have distinct systematic errors in terms of west African precipitation varying in amplitude and pattern across models. This is also reflected in a relatively large spread in projected future precipitation trends. Altogether, the ENSEMBLES RCMs indicate a prevailing drying tendency in sub-Saharan Africa. Statistical post-processing of simulated precipitation is a promising tool to reduce systematic model errors before application in impact studies.

Subject headings

NATURVETENSKAP  -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
NATURAL SCIENCES  -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)

Keyword

climate change
West Africa
model intercomparison
dynamical downscaling
statistical downscaling

Publication and Content Type

art (subject category)
ref (subject category)

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