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Development and val...
Development and validation of a prediction model for incident hand osteoarthritis in the HUNT study
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- Johnsen, M. B. (författare)
- University of Oslo,Oslo university hospital,Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Magnusson, K. (författare)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Ortopedi, Lund,Sektion III,Institutionen för kliniska vetenskaper, Lund,Medicinska fakulteten,Orthopaedics (Lund),Section III,Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund,Faculty of Medicine,National Advisory Unit on Rehabilitation in Rheumatology,Diakonhjemmet Hospital
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- Børte, S. (författare)
- Oslo university hospital,Norwegian University of Science and Technology,University of Oslo
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- Gabrielsen, M. E. (författare)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Winsvold, B. S. (författare)
- Oslo university hospital,Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Skogholt, A. H. (författare)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Thomas, L. (författare)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Storheim, K. (författare)
- Oslo university hospital
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- Hveem, K. (författare)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology
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- Zwart, J. A. (författare)
- Norwegian University of Science and Technology,Oslo university hospital,University of Oslo
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(creator_code:org_t)
- Elsevier BV, 2020
- 2020
- Engelska 9 s.
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Ingår i: Osteoarthritis and Cartilage. - : Elsevier BV. - 1063-4584. ; 28:7, s. 932-940
- Relaterad länk:
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http://dx.doi.org/10... (free)
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http://www.oarsijour...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Objective: To develop and externally validate prediction models for incident hand osteoarthritis (OA) in a large population-based cohort of middle aged and older men and women. Design: We included 17,153 men and 18,682 women from a population-based cohort, aged 35–70 years at baseline (1995–1997). Incident hand OA were obtained from diagnostic codes in the Norwegian National Patient Register (1995–2018). We studied whether a range of self-reported and clinically measured predictors could predict hand OA, using the Area Under the receiver-operating Curve (AUC) from logistic regression. External validation of an existing prediction model for male hand OA was tested on discrimination in a sample of men. Bootstrapping was used to avoid overfitting. Results: The model for men showed modest discriminatory ability (AUC = 0.67, 95% CI 0.62–0.71). Adding a genetic risk score did not improve prediction. Similar discrimination was observed in the model for women (AUC = 0.62, 95% CI 0.59–0.64). Prediction was not improved by adding a genetic risk score or hormonal and reproductive factors. Applying external validation, similar results were observed among men in HUNT (The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study) as in the developmental sample (AUC = 0.62, 95% CI 0.57–0.65). Conclusion: We developed prediction models for incident hand OA in men and women. For women, the model included body mass index (BMI), heavy physical work, high physical activity and perceived poor health. The model showed moderate discrimination. For men, we have shown that a prediction model including BMI, education and information on sleep can predict incident hand OA in several populations with moderate discriminative ability.
Ämnesord
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Hälsovetenskap -- Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Health Sciences -- Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology (hsv//eng)
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Klinisk medicin -- Ortopedi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Clinical Medicine -- Orthopaedics (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- Discrimination
- Hand
- Osteoarthritis
- Prediction
- Risk
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- art (ämneskategori)
- ref (ämneskategori)
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Till lärosätets databas
- Av författaren/redakt...
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Johnsen, M. B.
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Magnusson, K.
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Børte, S.
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Gabrielsen, M. E ...
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Winsvold, B. S.
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Skogholt, A. H.
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visa fler...
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Thomas, L.
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Storheim, K.
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Hveem, K.
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Zwart, J. A.
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visa färre...
- Om ämnet
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- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP
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MEDICIN OCH HÄLS ...
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och Hälsovetenskap
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och Folkhälsovetensk ...
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- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP
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MEDICIN OCH HÄLS ...
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och Klinisk medicin
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och Ortopedi
- Artiklar i publikationen
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Osteoarthritis a ...
- Av lärosätet
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Lunds universitet