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| Fältnamn | Indikatorer | Metadata |
|---|---|---|
| 000 | 10083naa a2201789 4500 | |
| 001 | oai:DiVA.org:miun-39809 | |
| 003 | SwePub | |
| 008 | 200915s2017 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
| 009 | oai:DiVA.org:oru-57837 | |
| 009 | oai:lup.lub.lu.se:fdb61348-045b-41e0-bf57-53895f0d03be | |
| 024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-398092 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-52 DOI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-578372 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/fdb61348-045b-41e0-bf57-53895f0d03be2 URI |
| 040 | a (SwePub)miund (SwePub)orud (SwePub)lu | |
| 041 | a engb eng | |
| 042 | 9 SwePub | |
| 072 | 7 | a ref2 swepub-contenttype |
| 072 | 7 | a art2 swepub-publicationtype |
| 100 | 1 | a Dieleman, J. L.u Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA4 aut |
| 245 | 1 0 | a Future and potential spending on health 2015-40 :b Development assistance for health, and government, prepaid private, and out-of-pocket health spending in 184 countries |
| 264 | 1 | b Lancet Publishing Group,c 2017 |
| 338 | a print2 rdacarrier | |
| 500 | a Funding Agency:Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation | |
| 520 | a Background: The amount of resources, particularly prepaid resources, available for health can affect access to health care and health outcomes. Although health spending tends to increase with economic development, tremendous variation exists among health financing systems. Estimates of future spending can be beneficial for policy makers and planners, and can identify financing gaps. In this study, we estimate future gross domestic product (GDP), all-sector government spending, and health spending disaggregated by source, and we compare expected future spending to potential future spending. Methods: We extracted GDP, government spending in 184 countries from 1980-2015, and health spend data from 1995-2014. We used a series of ensemble models to estimate future GDP, all-sector government spending, development assistance for health, and government, out-of-pocket, and prepaid private health spending through 2040. We used frontier analyses to identify patterns exhibited by the countries that dedicate the most funding to health, and used these frontiers to estimate potential health spending for each low-income or middle-income country. All estimates are inflation and purchasing power adjusted. Findings: We estimated that global spending on health will increase from US$9.21 trillion in 2014 to $24.24 trillion (uncertainty interval [UI] 20.47-29.72) in 2040. We expect per capita health spending to increase fastest in upper-middle-income countries, at 5.3% (UI 4.1-6.8) per year. This growth is driven by continued growth in GDP, government spending, and government health spending. Lower-middle income countries are expected to grow at 4.2% (3.8-4.9). High-income countries are expected to grow at 2.1% (UI 1.8-2.4) and low-income countries are expected to grow at 1.8% (1.0-2.8). Despite this growth, health spending per capita in low-income countries is expected to remain low, at $154 (UI 133-181) per capita in 2030 and $195 (157-258) per capita in 2040. Increases in national health spending to reach the level of the countries who spend the most on health, relative to their level of economic development, would mean $321 (157-258) per capita was available for health in 2040 in low-income countries. Interpretation: Health spending is associated with economic development but past trends and relationships suggest that spending will remain variable, and low in some low-resource settings. Policy change could lead to increased health spending, although for the poorest countries external support might remain essential. © The Author(s). | |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//eng |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Hälso- och sjukvårdsorganisation, hälsopolitik och hälsoekonomi0 (SwePub)303012 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy0 (SwePub)303012 hsv//eng |
| 653 | a Article; economic development; electric potential; funding; government; gross national product; health care cost; human; low income country; middle income country; priority journal; developing country; economic model; economics; financial management; global health; health care cost; health care financing; socioeconomics; trends | |
| 653 | a Developing Countries; Economic Development; Financing | |
| 653 | a Government; Global Health; Health Expenditures; Healthcare Financing; Humans; Models | |
| 653 | a Economic; Socioeconomic Factors | |
| 653 | a global health financing | |
| 700 | 1 | a Campbell, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Chapin, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Eldrenkamp, E.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Fan, V. Y.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Haakenstad, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kates, J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Li, Z.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Matyasz, T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Micah, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Reynolds, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sadat, N.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Schneider, M. T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sorensen, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Abbas, K. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Abera, S. F.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ahmad Kiadaliri, Aliasgharu Lund University,Lunds universitet,Lund OsteoArthritis Division - Clinical Epidemiology Unit,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Lund University Research Groups4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)med-ald |
| 700 | 1 | a Ahmed, M. B.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Alam, K.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Alizadeh-Navaei, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Alkerwi, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Amini, E.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ammar, W.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Antonio, C. A. T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Atey, T. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Avila-Burgos, L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Awasthi, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Barac, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Berheto, T. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Beyene, A. S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Beyene, T. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Birungi, C.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Bizuayehu, H. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Breitborde, N. J. K.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Cahuana-Hurtado, L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Castro, R. E.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Catalá-López, F.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dalal, Koustuvu Örebro universitet,Institutionen för hälsovetenskaper,Centre for Injury Prevention and Safety Promotion4 aut0 (Swepub:oru)kdl |
| 700 | 1 | a Dandona, L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dharmaratne, R. D. S. D.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dubey, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Faro, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Feigl, A. B.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Fischer, F.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Fitchett, J. R. A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Foigt, N.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Giref, A. Z.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Gupta, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hamidi, S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Harb, H. L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hay, S. I.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Hendrie, D.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Horino, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a JÃŒrisson, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Jakovljevic, M. B.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Javanbakht, M.u Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USA4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a John, D.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Jonas, J. B.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Karimi, S. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Khang, Y. -H4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Khubchandani, J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kim, Y. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kinge, J. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Krohn, K. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Kumar, G. A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Leung, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Magdy Abd El Razek, H.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Magdy Abd El Razek, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Majeed, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Malekzadeh, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Malta, D. C.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Meretoja, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Miller, T. R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mirrakhimov, E. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Mohammed, S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Molla, G.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Nangia, V.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Olgiati, S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Owolabi, M. O.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Patel, T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Paternina Caicedo, A. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Pereira, D. M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Perelman, J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Polinder, S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rafay, A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahimi-Movaghar, V.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rai, R. K.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ram, U.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ranabhat, C. L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Roba, H. S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Savic, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sepanlou, S. G.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Te Ao, B. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tesema, A. G.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thomson, A. J.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tobe-Gai, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Topor-Madry, R.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Undurraga, E. A.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vargas, V.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vasankari, T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Violante, F. S.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wijeratne, T.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Xu, G.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yonemoto, N.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Younis, M. Z.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yu, C.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zaidi, Z.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a El Sayed Zaki, M.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Murray, C. J. L.4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Network, Global Burden of Disease Health Financing Collaborator4 aut |
| 710 | 2 | a Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle WA, USAb Lund OsteoArthritis Division - Clinical Epidemiology Unit4 org |
| 773 | 0 | t The Lancetd : Lancet Publishing Groupg 389:10083, s. 2005-2030q 389:10083<2005-2030x 0140-6736x 1474-547X |
| 856 | 4 | u https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-5y Fulltext |
| 856 | 4 | u https://oru.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1098760/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print |
| 856 | 4 | u http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-5x freey FULLTEXT |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-39809 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)30873-5 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:oru:diva-57837 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/fdb61348-045b-41e0-bf57-53895f0d03be |
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