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Projected climate c...
Projected climate change impact on a coastal sea-As significant as all current pressures combined
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Wahlstrom, I. (author)
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Hammar, L. (author)
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Hume, D. (author)
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Palsson, J. (author)
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Almroth-Rosell, E. (author)
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Dieterich, C. (author)
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Arneborg, L. (author)
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Groger, M. (author)
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Mattsson, M. (author)
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Snowball, L. Z. (author)
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Kagesten, G. (author)
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Tornqvist, O. (author)
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Breviere, E. (author)
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Brunnabend, S. E. (author)
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- Jonsson, Per R., 1957 (author)
- Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för marina vetenskaper, Tjärnö marinlaboratoriet,Department of marine sciences, Tjärnö Marine Laboratory
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2022-07-06
- 2022
- English.
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In: Global Change Biology. - : Wiley. - 1354-1013 .- 1365-2486. ; 28:17, s. 5310-5319
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https://gup.ub.gu.se...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Climate change influences the ocean's physical and biogeochemical conditions, causing additional pressures on marine environments and ecosystems, now and in the future. Such changes occur in environments that already today suffer under pressures from, for example, eutrophication, pollution, shipping, and more. We demonstrate how to implement climate change into regional marine spatial planning by introducing data of future temperature, salinity, and sea ice cover from regional ocean climate model projections to an existing cumulative impact model. This makes it possible to assess climate change impact in relation to pre-existing cumulative impact from current human activities. Results indicate that end-of-century projected climate change alone is a threat of the same magnitude as the combination of all current pressures to the marine environment. These findings give marine planners and policymakers forewarning on how future climate change may impact marine ecosystems, across space, emission scenarios, and in relation to other pressures.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Baltic Sea
- climate change
- cumulative effects
- Delphi method
- ecosystem-based management
- marine spatial planning
- multiple stressors
- Symphony
- baltic sea
- scenarios
- Biodiversity & Conservation
- Environmental Sciences & Ecology
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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- By the author/editor
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Wahlstrom, I.
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Hammar, L.
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Hume, D.
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Palsson, J.
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Almroth-Rosell, ...
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Dieterich, C.
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show more...
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Arneborg, L.
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Groger, M.
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Mattsson, M.
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Snowball, L. Z.
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Kagesten, G.
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Tornqvist, O.
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Breviere, E.
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Brunnabend, S. E ...
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Jonsson, Per R., ...
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show less...
- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Environmental Sc ...
- Articles in the publication
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Global Change Bi ...
- By the university
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University of Gothenburg