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ST segment depression on 24-hour electrocardiography predicts incident atrial fibrillation in two population-based cohorts
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- Johnson, Linda S B (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Internmedicin - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Internal Medicine - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups
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- Berntsson, John (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kardiovaskulär forskning - epidemiologi,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Molecular Epidemiology and Cardiology,Cardiovascular Research - Epidemiology,Lund University Research Groups,Skåne University Hospital
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- Juhlin, Tord (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kardiologiska klinikens forskargrupp,Forskargrupper vid Lunds universitet,Cardiology Research Group,Lund University Research Groups,Skåne University Hospital
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- (creator_code:org_t)
- 2017-04-10
- 2018
- English.
- In: Europace. - : Oxford University Press (OUP). - 1532-2092. ; 20:3, s. 429-434
- Journal article (peer-reviewed)
Abstract
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- Aims: ST-depression at 24hECG has not been studied in relation to atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. We aimed to determine whether ST-depression at 24hECG was associated with incident AF in two Swedish population-based cohorts - a sub-cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDCS), and the cohort 'Men born in 1914', and to determine whether 24hECG could be used to predict AF development.Methods and results: There were 378 acceptable 24hECG recordings in the MDCS (mean age 64.5 years, 43% men) and 394 acceptable recordings in 'Men born in 1914' (mean age 68.8 years). Incidence of AF was monitored using national registers of hospitalizations and outpatient visits in Sweden. Mean follow-up ± SD (cumulative incidence) was 10.4 ± 2 years (11.3%) in MDCS, and 10.9 ± 4 years (7.3%) in 'Men born in 1914'. ST-depressions were independently associated with incident AF; hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) 2.41 (1.29-4.50, P = 0.006) and 2.28 (1.05-4.95, P = 0.038) after adjustment [age, sex, height, weight, systolic blood pressure, smoking, anti-hypertensive drugs, LDL/total cholesterol, and HOMA-IR (in MDCS)]. AF incidence was substantially lower in individuals who had neither ST-depressions or high supraventricular activity (SVA, negative predictive value 0.97 and 0.94, in MDCS and 'Men born in 1914', respectively), and similar in men and women.Conclusion: ST-depression at 24h-ECG is independently associated with incident AF, and incidence is substantially lower in individuals with neither ST-depression or high SVA. 24hECG can be used not only to diagnose AF but also to identify individuals at high and low AF risk.
Subject headings
- MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAP -- Klinisk medicin -- Kardiologi (hsv//swe)
- MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCES -- Clinical Medicine -- Cardiac and Cardiovascular Systems (hsv//eng)
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- Journal Article
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