A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide: the ISIMIP Lake Sector

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Fältnamn	Indikatorer	Metadata
000		12455naa a2201201 4500
001		oai:DiVA.org:uu-480014
003		SwePub
008		220706s2022 \| \|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|000 \|\|eng\|
009		oai:slubar.slu.se:118234
024	7	a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-4800142 URI
024	7	a https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4597-20222 DOI
024	7	a https://res.slu.se/id/publ/1182342 URI
040		a (SwePub)uud (SwePub)slu
041		a engb eng
042		9 SwePub
072	7	a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072	7	a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100	1	a Golub, Malgorzatau Uppsala universitet,Limnologi4 aut
245	1 0	a A framework for ensemble modelling of climate change impacts on lakes worldwide :b the ISIMIP Lake Sector
264		c 2022-06-16
264	1	b Copernicus Publications,c 2022
338		a electronic2 rdacarrier
520		a Empirical evidence demonstrates that lakes and reservoirs are warming across the globe. Consequently, there is an increased need to project future changes in lake thermal structure and resulting changes in lake biogeochemistry in order to plan for the likely impacts. Previous studies of the impacts of climate change on lakes have often relied on a single model forced with limited scenario-driven projections of future climate for a relatively small number of lakes. As a result, our understanding of the effects of climate change on lakes is fragmentary, based on scattered studies using different data sources and modelling protocols, and mainly focused on individual lakes or lake regions. This has precluded identification of the main impacts of climate change on lakes at global and regional scales and has likely contributed to the lack of lake water quality considerations in policy-relevant documents, such as the Assessment Reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Here, we describe a simulation protocol developed by the Lake Sector of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) for simulating climate change impacts on lakes using an ensemble of lake models and climate change scenarios for ISIMIP phases 2 and 3. The protocol prescribes lake simulations driven by climate forcing from gridded observations and different Earth system models under various representative greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCPs), all consistently bias-corrected on a 0.5 degrees x 0.5 degrees global grid. In ISIMIP phase 2, 11 lake models were forced with these data to project the thermal structure of 62 well-studied lakes where data were available for calibration under historical conditions, and using uncalibrated models for 17 500 lakes defined for all global grid cells containing lakes. In ISIMIP phase 3, this approach was expanded to consider more lakes, more models, and more processes. The ISIMIP Lake Sector is the largest international effort to project future water temperature, thermal structure, and ice phenology of lakes at local and global scales and paves the way for future simulations of the impacts of climate change on water quality and biogeochemistry in lakes.
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser0 (SwePub)105092 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources0 (SwePub)105092 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Klimatforskning0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Climate Research0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Biologix Ekologi0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Biological Sciencesx Ecology0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//eng
700	1	a Thiery, Wimu Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.4 aut
700	1	a Marce, Rafaelu Catalan Inst Water Res ICRA, Resources & Ecosyst Area, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.4 aut
700	1	a Pierson, Donu Uppsala universitet,Limnologi4 aut0 (Swepub:uu)donpiers
700	1	a Vanderkelen, Inneu Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.4 aut
700	1	a Mercado-Bettin, Danielu Catalan Inst Water Res ICRA, Resources & Ecosyst Area, Girona, Spain.;Univ Girona, Girona, Spain.4 aut
700	1	a Woolway, R. Iestynu Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England.4 aut
700	1	a Grant, Lukeu Vrije Univ Brussel, Dept Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, Brussels, Belgium.4 aut
700	1	a Jennings, Eleanoru Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk, Ireland.4 aut
700	1	a Kraemer, Benjamin M.u Univ Konstanz, Limnol Inst, Constance, Germany.,Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.,Wisconsin Dept Nat Resources, Madison, WI USA.4 aut
700	1	a Schewe, Jacobu Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Zhao, Fangu Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.;East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Minist Educ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China.4 aut
700	1	a Frieler, Katjau Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Mengel, Matthiasu Leibniz Assoc, Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res PIK, Potsdam, Germany.,Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Bogomolov, Vasiliy Y.u Russian Acad Sci, Siberian Branch, Inst Monitoring Climat & Ecol Syst, Tomsk, Russia.;Tomsk State Univ, Tomsk, Russia.;Russian Acad Sci, Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Bouffard, Damienu Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.4 aut
700	1	a Cote, Marianneu Univ Laval, Dept Chem, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Couture, Raoul-Marieu Univ Laval, Dept Chem, Quebec City, PQ, Canada.;Ctr Northern Study, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Debolskiy, Andrey, Vu Russian Acad Sci, Obukhov Inst Atmospher Phys, Moscow, Russia.;Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Droppers, Bramu Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.4 aut
700	1	a Gal, Gideonu Israel Oceanog & Limnol Res, Kinneret Limnol Lab, Migdal, Israel.,Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.4 aut
700	1	a Guo, Mingyangu Purdue Univ, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Janssen, Annette B. G.u Wageningen Univ & Res, Water Syst & Global Change Grp, Wageningen, Netherlands.4 aut
700	1	a Kirillin, Georgiyu Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Ladwig, Robertu Univ Wisconsin, Ctr Limnol, Madison, WI USA.4 aut
700	1	a Magee, Madelineu Wisconsin Dept Nat Resources, Madison, WI USA.4 aut
700	1	a Moore, Tadhgu Dundalk Inst Technol, Dept Appl Sci, Dundalk, Ireland.;Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Perroud, Marjorieu Univ Geneva, Inst Environm Sci, Geneva, Switzerland.4 aut
700	1	a Piccolroaz, Sebastianou Univ Trento, Dept Civil Environm & Mech Engn, Trento, Italy.;Ecole Polytech Fed Laussane, Phys Aquat Syst Lab APHYS, Margaretha Kamprad Chair, Lausanne, Switzerland.4 aut
700	1	a Vinnaa, Love Raamanu Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.4 aut
700	1	a Schmid, Martinu Eawag Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, Surface Waters Res & Management, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland.4 aut
700	1	a Shatwell, Tomu Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.;UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Lake Res, Magdeburg, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Stepanenko, Victor M.u Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Tan, Zeliu Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Richland, WA 99352 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Woodward, Bronwynu Univ Western Australia, Sch Civil Environm & Min Engn, Perth, WA, Australia.4 aut
700	1	a Yao, Huaxiau Ontario Minist Environm Conservat & Pk, Dorset Environm Sci Ctr, Dorset, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Adrian, Ritau Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.;Free Univ Berlin, Inst Biol, Berlin, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Allan, Mathewu Waikato Reg Council, Hamilton, New Zealand.;Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.4 aut
700	1	a Anneville, Orlaneu Univ Savoie Mt Blanc, UMR CARRTEL, INRAE, F-74203 Thonon Les Bains, France.4 aut
700	1	a Arvola, Lauriu Univ Helsinki, Lammi Biol Stn, Lammi 16900, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Atkins, Karenu Univ Calif Davis, Tahoe Environm Res Ctr, Davis, CA 95616 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Boegman, Leonu Queens Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Kingston, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Carey, Cayelanu Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Christianson, Kyleu Univ Colorado, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO 80309 USA.4 aut
700	1	a de Eyto, Elvirau Marine Inst, Newport F28 X252, Co Mayo, Ireland.4 aut
700	1	a DeGasperi, Curtisu King Cty Dept Nat Resources & Pk, Water & Land Resources Div, Seattle, WA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Grechushnikova, Mariau Lomonosov Moscow State Univ, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Hejzlar, Josefu Czech Acad Sci, Biol Ctr, Inst Hydrobiol, Ceske Budejovice, Czech Republic.4 aut
700	1	a Joehnk, Klausu CSIRO Land & Water, Canberra, ACT, Australia.4 aut
700	1	a Jones, Ian D.u Univ Stirling, Biol & Environm Sci, Stirling, Scotland.4 aut
700	1	a Laas, Alou Estonian Univ Life Sci, Chair Hydrobiol & Fishery, Inst Agr & Environm Sci, Tartu, Estonia.4 aut
700	1	a Mackay, Eleanor B.u UK Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Lake Ecosyst Grp, Lancaster LA1 4AP, England.4 aut
700	1	a Mammarella, Ivanu Univ Helsinki, Inst Atmospher & Earth Syst Res Phys, Helsinki, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Markensten, Hampusu Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för vatten och miljö,Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Aquat Sci & Assessment, S-75007 Uppsala, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:slu)50894
700	1	a McBride, Chrisu Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.4 aut
700	1	a Ozkundakci, Denizu Univ Waikato, Environm Res Inst, Hamilton, New Zealand.4 aut
700	1	a Potes, Miguelu Univ Evora, Inst Ciencias Terra ICT Polo Evora, Inst Invest & Formacao Avancada IIFA, Evora, Portugal.;Univ Evora, Earth Remote Sensing Lab EaRSLab, Inst Invest & Formacao Avancada IIFA, Evora, Portugal.4 aut
700	1	a Rinke, Karstenu UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Lake Res, Magdeburg, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Robertson, Daleu US Geol Survey, Upper Midwest Water Sci Ctr, Madison, WI USA.4 aut
700	1	a Rusak, James A.u Ontario Minist Environm Conservat & Pk, Dorset Environm Sci Ctr, Dorset, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Salgado, Ruiu Univ Evora, Inst Ciencias Terra, Escola Ciencias & Tecnol, Dept Fis, Evora, Portugal.4 aut
700	1	a van der Linden, Leonu South Australian Water Corp, Adelaide, SA, Australia.4 aut
700	1	a Verburg, Pietu Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res, Hamilton, New Zealand.4 aut
700	1	a Wain, Danielleu 7 Lakes Alliance, Belgrade Lakes, ME 04901 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Ward, Nicole K.u Virginia Tech, Dept Biol Sci, Blacksburg, VA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Wollrab, Sabineu Leibniz Inst Freshwater Ecol & Inland Fisheries, Berlin, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Zdorovennova, Galinau RAS, Karelian Res Ctr, Northern Water Problems Inst, Petrozavodsk, Russia.4 aut
710	2	a Uppsala universitetb Limnologi4 org
710	2	a Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
773	0	t Geoscientific Model Developmentd : Copernicus Publicationsg 15:11, s. 4597-4623q 15:11<4597-4623x 1991-959Xx 1991-9603
856	4	u https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022y Fulltext
856	4	u https://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1681361/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print
856	4 8	u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-480014
856	4 8	u https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-4597-2022
856	4 8	u https://res.slu.se/id/publ/118234

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Av författaren/redakt...: Golub, Malgorzat ...; Thiery, Wim; Marce, Rafael; Pierson, Don; Vanderkelen, Inn ...; Mercado-Bettin, ...; visa fler...; Woolway, R. Iest ...; Grant, Luke; Jennings, Eleano ...; Kraemer, Benjami ...; Schewe, Jacob; Zhao, Fang; Frieler, Katja; Mengel, Matthias; Bogomolov, Vasil ...; Bouffard, Damien; Cote, Marianne; Couture, Raoul-M ...; Debolskiy, Andre ...; Droppers, Bram; Gal, Gideon; Guo, Mingyang; Janssen, Annette ...; Kirillin, Georgi ...; Ladwig, Robert; Magee, Madeline; Moore, Tadhg; Perroud, Marjori ...; Piccolroaz, Seba ...; Vinnaa, Love Raa ...; Schmid, Martin; Shatwell, Tom; Stepanenko, Vict ...; Tan, Zeli; Woodward, Bronwy ...; Yao, Huaxia; Adrian, Rita; Allan, Mathew; Anneville, Orlan ...; Arvola, Lauri; Atkins, Karen; Boegman, Leon; Carey, Cayelan; Christianson, Ky ...; de Eyto, Elvira; DeGasperi, Curti ...; Grechushnikova, ...; Hejzlar, Josef; Joehnk, Klaus; Jones, Ian D.; Laas, Alo; Mackay, Eleanor ...; Mammarella, Ivan; Markensten, Hamp ...; McBride, Chris; Ozkundakci, Deni ...; Potes, Miguel; Rinke, Karsten; Robertson, Dale; Rusak, James A.; Salgado, Rui; van der Linden, ...; Verburg, Piet; Wain, Danielle; Ward, Nicole K.; Wollrab, Sabine; Zdorovennova, Ga ...; visa färre...

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