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Sökning: WFRF:(Scortichini Matteo) > (2018) > The inter-annual va...

LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00004150naa a2200553 4500
001oai:DiVA.org:umu-151137
003SwePub
008180828s2018 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
0247 a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-1511372 URI
0247 a https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-018-0411-02 DOI
040 a (SwePub)umu
041 a engb eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
1001 a Scortichini, Matteo4 aut
2451 0a The inter-annual variability of heat-related mortality in nine European cities (1990–2010)
264 c 2018-08-08
264 1b BioMed Central (BMC),c 2018
338 a electronic2 rdacarrier
520 a BACKGROUND: The association between heat and daily mortality and its temporal variation are well known. However, few studies have analyzed the inter-annual variations in both the risk estimates and impacts of heat. The aim is to estimate inter-annual variations in the effect of heat for a fixed temperature range, on mortality in 9 European cities included in the PHASE (Public Health Adaptation Strategies to Extreme weather events) project for the period 1990-2010. The second aim is to evaluate overall summer effects and heat-attributable deaths for each year included in the study period, considering the entire air temperature range (both mild and extreme temperatures).METHODS: A city-specific daily time-series analysis was performed, using a generalized additive Poisson regression model, restricted to the warm season (April-September). To study the temporal variation for a fixed air temperature range, a Bayesian Change Point analysis was applied to the relative risks of mortality for a 2 °C increase over the 90th percentile of the city-specific distribution. The number of heat attributable deaths in each summer were also calculated for mild (reference to 95th percentile) and extreme heat (95th percentile to maximum value).RESULTS: A decline in the effects of heat over time was observed in Athens and Rome when considering a fixed interval, while an increase in effects was observed in Helsinki. The greatest impact of heat in terms of attributable deaths was observed in the Mediterranean cities (Athens, Barcelona and Rome) for extreme air temperatures. In the other cities the impact was mostly related to extreme years with 2003 as a record breaking year in Paris (+ 1900 deaths) and London (+ 1200 deaths).CONCLUSIONS: Monitoring the impact of heat over time is important to identify changes in population vulnerability and evaluate adaptation measures.
650 7a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Arbetsmedicin och miljömedicin0 (SwePub)303032 hsv//swe
650 7a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Occupational Health and Environmental Health0 (SwePub)303032 hsv//eng
653 a Attributable risk
653 a Bayesian models
653 a Heat
653 a Mortality
653 a Temporal trends
653 a Time factors
7001 a de'Donato, Francesca4 aut
7001 a De Sario, Manuela4 aut
7001 a Leone, Michela4 aut
7001 a Åström, Christofer,d 1983-u Umeå universitet,Yrkes- och miljömedicin4 aut0 (Swepub:umu)chas0002
7001 a Ballester, Ferran4 aut
7001 a Basagaña, Xavier4 aut
7001 a Bobvos, Janos4 aut
7001 a Gasparrini, Antonio4 aut
7001 a Katsouyanni, Klea4 aut
7001 a Lanki, Timo4 aut
7001 a Menne, Bettina4 aut
7001 a Pascal, Mathilde4 aut
7001 a Michelozzi, Paola4 aut
7102 a Umeå universitetb Yrkes- och miljömedicin4 org
7730 t Environmental Healthd : BioMed Central (BMC)g 17:1q 17:1x 1476-069X
8564 u https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-018-0411-0y Fulltext
8564 u https://umu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:1242437/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print
8564 u https://ehjournal.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/s12940-018-0411-0
8564 8u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-151137
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-018-0411-0

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