Sökning: WFRF:(Francois Niels) > Recent past (1979-2...
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000 | 05541naa a2200517 4500 | |
001 | oai:lup.lub.lu.se:2fb3a1fe-dc29-4f82-a679-4f62abcb2148 | |
003 | SwePub | |
008 | 180705s2018 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
024 | 7 | a https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/2fb3a1fe-dc29-4f82-a679-4f62abcb21482 URI |
024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-20182 DOI |
040 | a (SwePub)lu | |
041 | a engb eng | |
042 | 9 SwePub | |
072 | 7 | a art2 swepub-publicationtype |
072 | 7 | a ref2 swepub-contenttype |
100 | 1 | a Bauwens, Maiteu Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy4 aut |
245 | 1 0 | a Recent past (1979-2014) and future (2070-2099) isoprene fluxes over Europe simulated with the MEGAN-MOHYCAN model |
264 | c 2018-06-19 | |
264 | 1 | b Copernicus GmbH,c 2018 |
300 | a 18 s. | |
520 | a Isoprene is a highly reactive volatile organic compound emitted by vegetation, known to be a precursor of secondary organic aerosols and to enhance tropospheric ozone formation under polluted conditions. Isoprene emissions respond strongly to changes in meteorological parameters such as temperature and solar radiation. In addition, the increasing CO2 concentration has a dual effect, as it causes both a direct emission inhibition as well as an increase in biomass through fertilization. In this study we used the MEGAN (Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature) emission model coupled with the MOHYCAN (Model of HYdrocarbon emissions by the CANopy) canopy model to calculate the isoprene fluxes emitted by vegetation in the recent past (1979-2014) and in the future (2070-2099) over Europe at a resolution of 0.1° × 0.1°. As a result of the changing climate, modeled isoprene fluxes increased by 1.1%yr-1 on average in Europe over 1979-2014, with the strongest trends found over eastern Europe and European Russia, whereas accounting for the CO2 inhibition effect led to reduced emission trends (0.76%yr-1). Comparisons with field campaign measurements at seven European sites suggest that the MEGAN-MOHYCAN model provides a reliable representation of the temporal variability of the isoprene fluxes over timescales between 1h and several months. For the 1979-2014 period the model was driven by the ECMWF ERA-Interim reanalysis fields, whereas for the comparison of current with projected future emissions, we used meteorology simulated with the ALARO regional climate model. Depending on the representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios for greenhouse gas concentration trajectories driving the climate projections, isoprene emissions were found to increase by +7% (RCP2.6), +33% (RCP4.5), and +83% (RCP8.5), compared to the control simulation, and even stronger increases were found when considering the potential impact of CO2 fertilization: +15% (RCP2.6), +52% (RCP4.5), and +141% (RCP8.5). However, the inhibitory CO2 effect goes a long way towards canceling these increases. Based on two distinct parameterizations, representing strong or moderate inhibition, the projected emissions accounting for all effects were estimated to be 0-17% (strong inhibition) and 11-65% (moderate inhibition) higher than in the control simulation. The difference obtained using the two CO2 parameterizations underscores the large uncertainty associated to this effect. | |
650 | 7 | a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning0 (SwePub)105082 hsv//swe |
650 | 7 | a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences0 (SwePub)105082 hsv//eng |
700 | 1 | a Stavrakou, Trissevgeniu Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Müller, Jean Françoisu Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Van Schaeybroeck, Bertu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a De Cruz, Lesleyu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a De Troch, Rozemienu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Giot, Olivieru Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium,University of Antwerp4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Hamdi, Rafiqu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Termonia, Pietu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Laffineur, Quentinu Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Amelynck, Cristu Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Schoon, Nielsu Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Heinesch, Bernardu University of Liège4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Holst, Thomasu Lund University,Lunds universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,Faculty of Science4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)nate-ths |
700 | 1 | a Arneth, Almutu Karlsruhe Institute of Technology4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)nate-aar |
700 | 1 | a Ceulemans, Reinhartu University of Antwerp4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Sanchez-Lorenzo, Arturou University of Extremadura4 aut |
700 | 1 | a Guenther, Alexu University of California, Irvine4 aut |
710 | 2 | a Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomyb Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium4 org |
773 | 0 | t Biogeosciencesd : Copernicus GmbHg 15:12, s. 3673-3690q 15:12<3673-3690x 1726-4170x 1726-4189 |
856 | 4 | u http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018x freey FULLTEXT |
856 | 4 | u https://bg.copernicus.org/articles/15/3673/2018/bg-15-3673-2018.pdf |
856 | 4 8 | u https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/2fb3a1fe-dc29-4f82-a679-4f62abcb2148 |
856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-3673-2018 |
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