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LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00007022naa a2200469 4500
001oai:DiVA.org:mdh-56270
003SwePub
008211022s2021 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
024a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-562702 URI
024a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99457-92 DOI
040 a (SwePub)mdh
041 a engb eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100a Bationo, C. S.u INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France; CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
2451 0a Spatio-temporal analysis and prediction of malaria cases using remote sensing meteorological data in Diébougou health district, Burkina Faso, 2016–2017
264 c 2021-10-08
264 1b Nature Research,c 2021
338 a print2 rdacarrier
520 a Malaria control and prevention programs are more efficient and cost-effective when they target hotspots or select the best periods of year to implement interventions. This study aimed to identify the spatial distribution of malaria hotspots at the village level in Diébougou health district, Burkina Faso, and to model the temporal dynamics of malaria cases as a function of meteorological conditions and of the distance between villages and health centres (HCs). Case data for 27 villages were collected in 13 HCs. Meteorological data were obtained through remote sensing. Two synthetic meteorological indicators (SMIs) were created to summarize meteorological variables. Spatial hotspots were detected using the Kulldorf scanning method. A General Additive Model was used to determine the time lag between cases and SMIs and to evaluate the effect of SMIs and distance to HC on the temporal evolution of malaria cases. The multivariate model was fitted with data from the epidemic year to predict the number of cases in the following outbreak. Overall, the incidence rate in the area was 429.13 cases per 1000 person-year with important spatial and temporal heterogeneities. Four spatial hotspots, involving 7 of the 27 villages, were detected, for an incidence rate of 854.02 cases per 1000 person-year. The hotspot with the highest risk (relative risk = 4.06) consisted of a single village, with an incidence rate of 1750.75 cases per 1000 person-years. The multivariate analysis found greater variability in incidence between HCs than between villages linked to the same HC. The time lag that generated the better predictions of cases was 9 weeks for SMI1 (positively correlated with precipitation variables) and 16 weeks for SMI2 (positively correlated with temperature variables. The prediction followed the overall pattern of the time series of reported cases and predicted the onset of the following outbreak with a precision of less than 3 weeks. This analysis of malaria cases in Diébougou health district, Burkina Faso, provides a powerful prospective method for identifying and predicting high-risk areas and high-transmission periods that could be targeted in future malaria control and prevention campaigns.
650 7a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//swe
650 7a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//eng
700a Gaudart, J.u INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, APHM, Hop Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistic & ICT, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France; Malaria Research and Training Center—Ogobara K. Doumbo (MRTC-OKD), FMOS-FAPH, Mali-NIAID-ICER, Université des Sciences, des Techniques et des Technologies de Bamako, Bamako, Mali4 aut
700a Dieng, S.u INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France4 aut
700a Cissoko, M.u INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France; Malaria Research and Training Center—Ogobara K. Doumbo (MRTC-OKD), FMOS-FAPH, Mali-NIAID-ICER, Université des Sciences, des Techniques et des Technologies de Bamako, Bamako, Mali4 aut
700a Taconet, P.u CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Ouedraogo, B.u Direction des Systèmes d’information en Santé, Ministère de la Santé du Burkina Faso, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Somé, A.u Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Zongo, I.u Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Soma, D. D.u CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso; Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la Santé, Université Nazi Boni, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Tougri, G.u Programme National de Lutte Contre le Paludisme, Ministère de la Santé du Burkina Faso, Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Dabiré, R. K.u Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
700a Koffi, A.u Institut Pierre Richet (IPR), Institut National de Santé Publique (INSP), Bouaké, Cote d'Ivoire4 aut
700a Pennetier, C.u CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso; Institut Pierre Richet (IPR), Institut National de Santé Publique (INSP), Bouaké, Cote d'Ivoire4 aut
700a Moiroux, N.u CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso4 aut
710a INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France; CNRS, IRD, MIVEGEC, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France; Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Santé (IRSS), Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Fasob INSERM, IRD, SESSTIM, Institute of Public Health Sciences, ISSPAM, APHM, Hop Timone, BioSTIC, Biostatistic & ICT, Aix Marseille Univ, Marseille, France; Malaria Research and Training Center—Ogobara K. Doumbo (MRTC-OKD), FMOS-FAPH, Mali-NIAID-ICER, Université des Sciences, des Techniques et des Technologies de Bamako, Bamako, Mali4 org
773t Scientific Reportsd : Nature Researchg 11:1q 11:1x 2045-2322
856u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99457-9y Fulltext
856u https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-99457-9.pdf
8564 8u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:mdh:diva-56270
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99457-9

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