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A climate risk anal...
A climate risk analysis of Earth's forests in the 21st century
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- Anderegg, William R L (author)
- University of Utah
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- Wu, Chao (author)
- University of Utah
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- Acil, Nezha (author)
- University of Birmingham
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- Carvalhais, Nuno (author)
- NOVA University Lisbon,Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry
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- Pugh, Thomas A M (author)
- Lund University,Lunds universitet,BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate,Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC),Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system,Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap,Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC),Faculty of Science,Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science,Birmingham Institute of Forest Research,University of Birmingham
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- Sadler, Jon P (author)
- University of Birmingham
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- Seidl, Rupert (author)
- Technical University of Munich,Berchtesgaden National Park
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(creator_code:org_t)
- American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), 2022
- 2022
- English 5 s.
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In: Science (New York, N.Y.). - : American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). - 1095-9203 .- 0036-8075. ; 377:6610, s. 1099-1103
- Related links:
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http://dx.doi.org/10...
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https://lup.lub.lu.s...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- Earth's forests harbor extensive biodiversity and are currently a major carbon sink. Forest conservation and restoration can help mitigate climate change; however, climate change could fundamentally imperil forests in many regions and undermine their ability to provide such mitigation. The extent of climate risks facing forests has not been synthesized globally nor have different approaches to quantifying forest climate risks been systematically compared. We combine outputs from multiple mechanistic and empirical approaches to modeling carbon, biodiversity, and disturbance risks to conduct a synthetic climate risk analysis for Earth's forests in the 21st century. Despite large uncertainty in most regions we find that some forests are consistently at higher risk, including southern boreal forests and those in western North America and parts of the Amazon.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Klimatforskning (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Climate Research (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Biodiversity
- Carbon
- Carbon Sequestration
- Climate Change
- Ecosystem
- Forests
- Risk Assessment
- Trees
Publication and Content Type
- art (subject category)
- ref (subject category)
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