Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds

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Fältnamn	Indikatorer	Metadata
000		07050naa a2201465 4500
001		oai:DiVA.org:su-156053
003		SwePub
008		180525s2018 \| \|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|000 \|\|eng\|
009		oai:slubar.slu.se:94877
024	7	a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-1560532 URI
024	7	a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z2 DOI
024	7	a https://res.slu.se/id/publ/948772 URI
040		a (SwePub)sud (SwePub)slu
041		a engb eng
042		9 SwePub
072	7	a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072	7	a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100	1	a Keogan, Katharine4 aut
245	1 0	a Global phenological insensitivity to shifting ocean temperatures among seabirds
264		c 2018-04-02
264	1	b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2018
338		a print2 rdacarrier
520		a Reproductive timing in many taxa plays a key role in determining breeding productivity(1), and is often sensitive to climatic conditions(2). Current climate change may alter the timing of breeding at different rates across trophic levels, potentially resulting in temporal mismatch between the resource requirements of predators and their prey(3). This is of particular concern for higher-trophic-level organisms, whose longer generation times confer a lower rate of evolutionary rescue than primary producers or consumers(4). However, the disconnection between studies of ecological change in marine systems makes it difficult to detect general changes in the timing of reproduction(5). Here, we use a comprehensive meta-analysis of 209 phenological time series from 145 breeding populations to show that, on average, seabird populations worldwide have not adjusted their breeding seasons over time (-0.020 days yr(-1)) or in response to sea surface temperature (SST) (-0.272 days degrees C-1) between 1952 and 2015. However, marked between-year variation in timing observed in resident species and some Pelecaniformes and Suliformes (cormorants, gannets and boobies) may imply that timing, in some cases, is affected by unmeasured environmental conditions. This limited temperature-mediated plasticity of reproductive timing in seabirds potentially makes these top predators highly vulnerable to future mismatch with lower-trophic-level resources(2).
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciences0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//eng
650	7	a SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAPx Social och ekonomisk geografi0 (SwePub)5072 hsv//swe
650	7	a SOCIAL SCIENCESx Social and Economic Geography0 (SwePub)5072 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Miljövetenskap0 (SwePub)105022 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Environmental Sciences0 (SwePub)105022 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Biologix Ekologi0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Biological Sciencesx Ecology0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//eng
700	1	a Daunt, Francis4 aut
700	1	a Wanless, Sarah4 aut
700	1	a Phillips, Richard A.4 aut
700	1	a Walling, Craig A.4 aut
700	1	a Agnew, Philippa4 aut
700	1	a Ainley, David G.4 aut
700	1	a Anker-Nilssen, Tycho4 aut
700	1	a Ballard, Grant4 aut
700	1	a Barrett, Robert T.4 aut
700	1	a Barton, Kerry J.4 aut
700	1	a Bech, Claus4 aut
700	1	a Becker, Peter4 aut
700	1	a Berglund, Per-Arvidu Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för akvatiska resurser,Department of Aquatic Resources4 aut
700	1	a Bollache, Loic4 aut
700	1	a Bond, Alexander L.4 aut
700	1	a Bouwhuis, Sandra4 aut
700	1	a Bradley, Russell W.4 aut
700	1	a Burr, Zofia M.4 aut
700	1	a Camphuysen, Kees4 aut
700	1	a Catry, Paulo4 aut
700	1	a Chiaradia, Andre4 aut
700	1	a Christensen-Dalsgaard, Signe4 aut
700	1	a Cuthbert, Richard4 aut
700	1	a Dehnhard, Nina4 aut
700	1	a Descamps, Sebastien4 aut
700	1	a Diamond, Tony4 aut
700	1	a Divoky, George4 aut
700	1	a Drummond, Hugh4 aut
700	1	a Dugger, Katie M.4 aut
700	1	a Dunn, Michael J.4 aut
700	1	a Emmerson, Louise4 aut
700	1	a Erikstad, Kjell Einar4 aut
700	1	a Fort, Jerome4 aut
700	1	a Fraser, William4 aut
700	1	a Genovart, Meritxell4 aut
700	1	a Gilg, Olivier4 aut
700	1	a Gonzalez-Solis, Jacob4 aut
700	1	a Granadeiro, Jose Pedro4 aut
700	1	a Gremillet, David4 aut
700	1	a Hansen, Jannik4 aut
700	1	a Hanssen, Sveinn A.4 aut
700	1	a Harris, Mike4 aut
700	1	a Hedd, April4 aut
700	1	a Hinke, Jefferson4 aut
700	1	a Manuel Igual, Jose4 aut
700	1	a Jahncke, Jaime4 aut
700	1	a Jones, Ian4 aut
700	1	a Kappes, Peter J.4 aut
700	1	a Lang, Johannes4 aut
700	1	a Langset, Magdalene4 aut
700	1	a Lescroel, Amelie4 aut
700	1	a Lorentsen, Svein-Hakon4 aut
700	1	a Lyver, Phil O'B.4 aut
700	1	a Mallory, Mark4 aut
700	1	a Moe, Borge4 aut
700	1	a Montevecchi, William A.4 aut
700	1	a Monticelli, David4 aut
700	1	a Mostello, Carolyn4 aut
700	1	a Newell, Mark4 aut
700	1	a Nicholson, Lisa4 aut
700	1	a Nisbet, Ian4 aut
700	1	a Olsson, Olofu Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre4 aut0 (Swepub:su)caols
700	1	a Oro, Daniel4 aut
700	1	a Pattison, Vivian4 aut
700	1	a Poisbleau, Maud4 aut
700	1	a Pyk, Tanya4 aut
700	1	a Quintana, Flavio4 aut
700	1	a Ramos, Jaime A.4 aut
700	1	a Ramos, Raul4 aut
700	1	a Reiertsen, Tone Kirstin4 aut
700	1	a Rodriguez, Cristina4 aut
700	1	a Ryan, Peter4 aut
700	1	a Sanz-Aguilar, Ana4 aut
700	1	a Schmidt, Niels M.4 aut
700	1	a Shannon, Paula4 aut
700	1	a Sittler, Benoit4 aut
700	1	a Southwell, Colin4 aut
700	1	a Surman, Christopher4 aut
700	1	a Svagelj, Walter S.4 aut
700	1	a Trivelpiece, Wayne4 aut
700	1	a Warzybok, Pete4 aut
700	1	a Watanuki, Yutaka4 aut
700	1	a Weimerskirch, Henri4 aut
700	1	a Wilson, Peter R.4 aut
700	1	a Wood, Andrew G.4 aut
700	1	a Phillimore, Albert B.4 aut
700	1	a Lewis, Sue4 aut
710	2	a Sveriges lantbruksuniversitetb Institutionen för akvatiska resurser4 org
710	2	a Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
773	0	t Nature Climate Changed : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 8:4, s. 313-318q 8:4<313-318x 1758-678Xx 1758-6798
856	4	u http://diposit.ub.edu/dspace/bitstream/2445/131245/1/683443.pdf
856	4 8	u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-156053
856	4 8	u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0115-z
856	4 8	u https://res.slu.se/id/publ/94877

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