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Coercion and Provoc...
Coercion and Provocation
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- Dafoe, Allan (författare)
- Univ Oxford, Future Humanity Inst, Oxford, England.;Univ Oxford, Dept Polit & Int Relat, Oxford, England.
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- Hatz, Sophia, Dr, 1985- (författare)
- Uppsala universitet,Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning
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- Zhang, Baobao (författare)
- Univ Oxford, Future Humanity Inst, Oxford, England.;Cornell Univ, Dept Govt, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA.
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Univ Oxford, Future Humanity Inst, Oxford, England;Univ Oxford, Dept Polit & Int Relat, Oxford, England. Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning (creator_code:org_t)
- 2020-09-29
- 2021
- Engelska.
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Ingår i: Journal of Conflict Resolution. - : Sage Publications. - 0022-0027 .- 1552-8766. ; 65:2-3, s. 372-402
- Relaterad länk:
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https://ora.ox.ac.uk...
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visa fler...
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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Abstract
Ämnesord
Stäng
- Threats and force, by increasing expected costs, should reduce the target's resolve. However, they often seem to increase resolve. We label this phenomenon provocation. We review instances of apparent provocation in interstate relations and offer a theory based on the logic of reputation and honor. We also consider alternative explanations: confounding or mis-imputation of resolve; revelation of information, character, or capabilities; or generalized sunk cost reasoning. Using survey experiments, we systematically evaluate whether provocation exists and what may account for it. We employ design-based causal inference techniques-a hypothetical natural experiment, a placebo treatment, and ruling out mediators-to evaluate our key hypotheses. We find strong evidence of provocation and suggestive evidence that it arises from considerations of honor, vengeance, and reputation. Our experimental design minimizes the risk that this result arises from our alternative explanations.
Ämnesord
- SAMHÄLLSVETENSKAP -- Annan samhällsvetenskap -- Tvärvetenskapliga studier inom samhällsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
- SOCIAL SCIENCES -- Other Social Sciences -- Social Sciences Interdisciplinary (hsv//eng)
Nyckelord
- interstate conflict
- international security
- use of force
- militarized interstate disputes
Publikations- och innehållstyp
- ref (ämneskategori)
- art (ämneskategori)
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