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LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00007205naa a2200961 4500
001oai:lup.lub.lu.se:9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b622
003SwePub
008180704s2018 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
0247 a https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b6222 URI
0247 a https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-02 DOI
040 a (SwePub)lu
041 a engb eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
1001 a Fischer, Hubertusu University of Bern4 aut
2451 0a Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 °C anthropogenic warming and beyond
264 c 2018-06-25
264 1b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2018
520 a Over the past 3.5 million years, there have been several intervals when climate conditions were warmer than during the pre-industrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming were forced differently than future anthropogenic change, such periods can provide insights into potential future climate impacts and ecosystem feedbacks, especially over centennial-to-millennial timescales that are often not covered by climate model simulations. Our observation-based synthesis of the understanding of past intervals with temperatures within the range of projected future warming suggests that there is a low risk of runaway greenhouse gas feedbacks for global warming of no more than 2 °C. However, substantial regional environmental impacts can occur. A global average warming of 1–2 °C with strong polar amplification has, in the past, been accompanied by significant shifts in climate zones and the spatial distribution of land and ocean ecosystems. Sustained warming at this level has also led to substantial reductions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, with sea-level increases of at least several metres on millennial timescales. Comparison of palaeo observations with climate model results suggests that, due to the lack of certain feedback processes, model-based climate projections may underestimate long-term warming in response to future radiative forcing by as much as a factor of two, and thus may also underestimate centennial-to-millennial-scale sea-level rise.
650 7a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Klimatforskning0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//swe
650 7a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Climate Research0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//eng
650 7a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Geologi0 (SwePub)105042 hsv//swe
650 7a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Geology0 (SwePub)105042 hsv//eng
7001 a Meissner, Katrin J.u University of New South Wales4 aut
7001 a Mix, Alan C.u Oregon State University4 aut
7001 a Abram, Nerilie J.u Australian National University4 aut
7001 a Austermann, Jacquelineu University of Cambridge4 aut
7001 a Brovkin, Victoru Max Planck Institute for Meteorology4 aut
7001 a Capron, Emilieu University of Copenhagen,British Antarctic Survey4 aut
7001 a Colombaroli, Danieleu Royal Holloway University of London,University of Bern,Ghent University4 aut
7001 a Daniau, Anne Laureu University of Bordeaux4 aut
7001 a Dyez, Kelsey A.u Columbia University4 aut
7001 a Felis, Thomasu University of Bremen4 aut
7001 a Finkelstein, Sarah A.u University of Toronto4 aut
7001 a Jaccard, Samuel L.u University of Bern4 aut
7001 a McClymont, Erin L.u Durham University4 aut
7001 a Rovere, Alessiou Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Ecology,University of Bremen4 aut
7001 a Sutter, Johannesu Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam4 aut
7001 a Wolff, Eric W.u University of Cambridge4 aut
7001 a Affolter, Stéphaneu University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Bakker, Pepijnu University of Bremen4 aut
7001 a Ballesteros-Cánovas, Juan Antoniou University of Geneva4 aut
7001 a Barbante, Carlou University of Venice,CNR Institute for the Dynamics of Environmental Processes (CNR-IDPA)4 aut
7001 a Caley, Thibautu University of Bordeaux4 aut
7001 a Carlson, Anders E.u Oregon State University4 aut
7001 a Churakova (Sidorova), Olgau University of Geneva,Siberian Federal University4 aut
7001 a Cortese, Giuseppeu GNS Science4 aut
7001 a Cumming, Brian F.u Queen's University at Kingston4 aut
7001 a Davis, Basil A.S.u University of Lausanne4 aut
7001 a de Vernal, Anneu University Of Quebec In Montreal4 aut
7001 a Emile-Geay, Julienu University of Southern California4 aut
7001 a Fritz, Sherilyn C.u University of Nebraska - Lincoln4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)sh4732fr
7001 a Gierz, Paulu Alfred-Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam4 aut
7001 a Gottschalk, Juliau University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Holloway, Max D.u British Antarctic Survey4 aut
7001 a Joos, Fortunatu University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Kucera, Michalu University of Bremen4 aut
7001 a Loutre, Marie Franceu PAGES (Past Global Changes)4 aut
7001 a Lunt, Daniel J.u University of Bristol4 aut
7001 a Marcisz, Katarzynau University of Bern,Adam Mickiewicz University in Poznań4 aut
7001 a Marlon, Jennifer R.u Yale University4 aut
7001 a Martinez, Philippeu University of Bordeaux4 aut
7001 a Masson-Delmotte, Valerieu University of Paris-Saclay4 aut
7001 a Nehrbass-Ahles, Christophu University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.u National Center for Atmospheric Research4 aut
7001 a Raible, Christoph C.u University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Risebrobakken, Bjørgu Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research4 aut
7001 a Sánchez Goñi, María F.u University of Bordeaux,École Pratiques des Hautes Ètudes, Paris4 aut
7001 a Arrigo, Jennifer Saleemu U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP)4 aut
7001 a Sarnthein, Michaelu University of Kiel4 aut
7001 a Sjolte, Jesperu Lund University,Lunds universitet,Kvartärgeologi,Geologiska institutionen,Naturvetenskapliga fakulteten,Quaternary Sciences,Department of Geology,Faculty of Science4 aut0 (Swepub:lu)geol-jes
7001 a Stocker, Thomas F.u University of Bern4 aut
7001 a Yan, Qingu Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences4 aut
7001 a Yu, Zichengu Lehigh University,Northeast Normal University4 aut
7001 a Ziegler, Martinu ETH Zürich,Utrecht University4 aut
7001 a Zhou, Lipingu Peking University4 aut
7102 a University of Bernb University of New South Wales4 org
7730 t Nature Geoscienced : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 11:7, s. 474-485q 11:7<474-485x 1752-0894x 1752-0908
8564 u http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0y FULLTEXT
8564 u https://hal-cea.archives-ouvertes.fr/cea-01883055/file/Fis.pdf
8564 8u https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/9fbc1c3c-1e9a-48ca-b042-d59d24d2b622
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0146-0

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