Self-Organization GMDH Computer Aided Design for Modelling of Cyclic Processes

• The Group Method Data Handling (GMDH) is a specific selforganization computer-aided design which has been proposed by Ivakhnenko (1970, 1971) and which has been described in several recent articles (Ivakhnenko et al, 1978, 1979a) and also in Soviet Automatic Control (USA). One of the several interesting properties of this CAD is its apparent ability to make high accuracy predictions of future states of complex systems. The development presents a procedure for constructing models in a simple and systematic way for complex systems which are cyclic in nature. In the present paper the structures of finite-difference models for cyclic processes are described. The criterion of prediction balance is used for analysing the optimal model. System of combined models constructed in this manner is used recursively for predicting the future states of the cyclic system. Three examples are given. One example used the data generated from a known model and the others the airtemperature data with large number of points and the tea-crop production data with less number of points. The system of combined models is compared with the single overall model. The former has given reasonably better results. The models are checked for stability in long-range actions.

Ämnesord

TEKNIK OCH TEKNOLOGIER  -- Elektroteknik och elektronik -- Reglerteknik (hsv//swe)

ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY  -- Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering -- Control Engineering (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

Computer-Aided Design

Identification

Prediction

Cybernetics

Signal processing

Combinatorial mathematics

GMDH

Self-organization

Reglerteknik

Control Engineering

Publikations- och innehållstyp

ref (ämneskategori)

art (ämneskategori)