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LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00003782naa a2200433 4500
001oai:prod.swepub.kib.ki.se:130826558
003SwePub
008240701s2015 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
009oai:hhs.se:1154977480006056
024a http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:1308265582 URI
024a https://doi.org/10.1038/srep089232 DOI
024a https://research.hhs.se/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/Using-Mobile-Phone-Data-to-Predict/9910014794221060562 URI
040 a (SwePub)kid (SwePub)hhs
041 a engb eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100a Bengtsson, Lu Karolinska Institutet,Flowminder Foundation (SE)4 aut
2451 0a Using mobile phone data to predict the spatial spread of cholera
264 c 2015-03-09
264 1b Springer Science and Business Media LLC,c 2015
520 a Effective response to infectious disease epidemics requires focused control measures in areas predicted to be at high risk of new outbreaks. We aimed to test whether mobile operator data could predict the early spatial evolution of the 2010 Haiti cholera epidemic. Daily case data were analysed for 78 study areas from October 16 to December 16, 2010. Movements of 2.9 million anonymous mobile phone SIM cards were used to create a national mobility network. Two gravity models of population mobility were implemented for comparison. Both were optimized based on the complete retrospective epidemic data, available only after the end of the epidemic spread. Risk of an area experiencing an outbreak within seven days showed strong dose-response relationship with the mobile phone-based infectious pressure estimates. The mobile phone-based model performed better (AUC 0.79) than the retrospectively optimized gravity models (AUC 0.66 and 0.74, respectively). Infectious pressure at outbreak onset was significantly correlated with reported cholera cases during the first ten days of the epidemic (p < 0.05). Mobile operator data is a highly promising data source for improving preparedness and response efforts during cholera outbreaks. Findings may be particularly important for containment efforts of emerging infectious diseases, including high-mortality influenza strains.
650 7a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskapx Folkhälsovetenskap, global hälsa, socialmedicin och epidemiologi0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//swe
650 7a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciencesx Public Health, Global Health, Social Medicine and Epidemiology0 (SwePub)303022 hsv//eng
653 a 03 Good Health and Well-being
700a Gaudart, Ju Aix-Marseille University4 aut
700a Lu, Xu Karolinska Institutet,National University of Defense Technology (CN)4 aut
700a Moore, Su Arcadia University4 aut
700a Wetter, Eriku Stockholm School of Economics,Handelshögskolan i Stockholm4 aut0 (Swepub:hhs)888@hhs.se
700a Sallah, Ku Aix-Marseille University4 aut
700a Rebaudet, Su Aix-Marseille University4 aut
700a Piarroux, Ru Aix-Marseille University4 aut
710a Karolinska Institutetb Flowminder Foundation (SE)4 org
773t Scientific reportsd : Springer Science and Business Media LLCg 5, s. 8923-q 5<8923-x 2045-2322
856u https://www.nature.com/articles/srep08923.pdf
856u https://research.hhs.se/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/Using-Mobile-Phone-Data-to-Predict/991001479422106056x primaryx Object in context
8564 8u http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:130826558
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1038/srep08923
8564 8u https://research.hhs.se/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/Using-Mobile-Phone-Data-to-Predict/991001479422106056

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