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Damage to tropical forests caused by cyclones is driven by wind speed but mediated by topographical exposure and tree characteristics

Ibanez, Thomas (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.
Bauman, David (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;Univ Libre Bruxelles, Fac Sci, Plant Ecol & Biogeochem Lab, Brussels, Belgium.
Aiba, Shin-ichiro (författare)
Hokkaido Univ, Fac Environm Earth Sci, Sapporo, Japan.
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Arsouze, Thomas (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;CIRAD, UMR AMAP, Montpellier, France.
Bellingham, Peter J. (författare)
Manaaki Whenua Landcare Res, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Birkinshaw, Chris (författare)
Madagascar Res & Conservat Program, Missouri Bot Garden, Antananarivo, Madagascar.
Birnbaum, Philippe (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;CIRAD, UMR AMAP, Montpellier, France.;Inst Agron Neo Caledonien IAC, Noumea, New Caledonia, France.
Curran, Timothy J. (författare)
Lincoln Univ, Dept Pest Management & Conservat, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Dewalt, Saara J. (författare)
Univ Minnesota Twin Cities, Coll Biol Sci, Dept Plant & Microbial Biol, St Paul, MN USA.
Dwyer, John (författare)
Univ Queensland, Sch Biol Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia.
Fourcaud, Thierry (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;CIRAD, UMR AMAP, Montpellier, France.
Franklin, Janet (författare)
San Diego State Univ, Dept Geog, San Diego, CA USA.;Univ Calif Riverside, Bot & Plant Sci Dept, Riverside, CA USA.
Kohyama, Takashi S. (författare)
Hokkaido Univ, Fac Environm Earth Sci, Sapporo, Japan.
Menkes, Christophe (författare)
Univ Reunion, CNRS, UMR 9220, ENTROPIE,IRD, Noumea, New Caledonia, France.
Metcalfe, Dan J. (författare)
CSIRO, Ecosci Precinct, Dutton Pk, Qld, Australia.
Murphy, Helen (författare)
James Cook Univ, Australian Trop Sci & Innovat Precinct, CSIRO, Townsville, Qld, Australia.
Muscarella, Robert (författare)
Uppsala universitet,Växtekologi och evolution
Plunkett, Gregory M. (författare)
New York Bot Garden, Cullman Program Mol Systemat, Bronx, NY USA.
Sam, Chanel (författare)
Vanuatu Natl Herbarium, Vanuatu Dept Forestry, Port Vila, Vanuatu.
Tanner, Edmund (författare)
Univ Cambridge, Dept Plant Sci, Cambridge, England.
Taylor, Benton N. (författare)
Harvard Univ, Dept Organism & Evolutionary Biol, Cambridge, MA USA.
Thompson, Jill (författare)
UK Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Penicuik, Midlothian, Scotland.
Ticktin, Tamara (författare)
Univ Hawaii Manoa, Sch Life Sci, Honolulu, HI USA.
Tuiwawa, Marika V. (författare)
Univ South Pacific, Inst Appl Sci, South Pacific Reg Herbarium & Biodivers Ctr, Suva, Fiji.
Uriarte, Maria (författare)
Columbia Univ, Dept Ecol Evolut & Environm Biol, New York, NY USA.
Webb, Edward L. (författare)
Univ Helsinki, Viikki Trop Resources Inst, Dept Forest Sci, Helsinki, Finland.;Univ Helsinki, Helsinki Inst Sustainabil Sci HELSUS, Helsinki, Finland.
Zimmerman, Jess K. (författare)
Univ Puerto Rico, Environm Sci, San Juan, PR USA.
Keppel, Gunnar (författare)
Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;Univ South Australia, UniSA STEM, Adelaide, SA, Australia.;Univ South Australia, Future Ind Inst, Adelaide, SA, Australia.
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Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France Univ Montpellier, CNRS, INRAE, CIRAD,IRD,AMAP, Montpellier, France.;Univ Libre Bruxelles, Fac Sci, Plant Ecol & Biogeochem Lab, Brussels, Belgium. (creator_code:org_t)
John Wiley & Sons, 2024
2024
Engelska.
Ingår i: Global Change Biology. - : John Wiley & Sons. - 1354-1013 .- 1365-2486. ; 30:5
Relaterad länk:
https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://uu.diva-port... (primary) (Raw object)
https://urn.kb.se/re...
https://doi.org/10.1...
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  • Tidskriftsartikel (refereegranskat)
Abstract Ämnesord
Stäng  
  • Each year, an average of 45 tropical cyclones affect coastal areas and potentially impact forests. The proportion of the most intense cyclones has increased over the past four decades and is predicted to continue to do so. Yet, it remains uncertain how topographical exposure and tree characteristics can mediate the damage caused by increasing wind speed. Here, we compiled empirical data on the damage caused by 11 cyclones occurring over the past 40 years, from 74 forest plots representing tropical regions worldwide, encompassing field data for 22,176 trees and 815 species. We reconstructed the wind structure of those tropical cyclones to estimate the maximum sustained wind speed (MSW) and wind direction at the studied plots. Then, we used a causal inference framework combined with Bayesian generalised linear mixed models to understand and quantify the causal effects of MSW, topographical exposure to wind (EXP), tree size (DBH) and species wood density (ρ) on the proportion of damaged trees at the community level, and on the probability of snapping or uprooting at the tree level. The probability of snapping or uprooting at the tree level and, hence, the proportion of damaged trees at the community level, increased with increasing MSW, and with increasing EXP accentuating the damaging effects of cyclones, in particular at higher wind speeds. Higher ρ decreased the probability of snapping and to a lesser extent of uprooting. Larger trees tended to have lower probabilities of snapping but increased probabilities of uprooting. Importantly, the effect of ρ decreasing the probabilities of snapping was more marked for smaller than larger trees and was further accentuated at higher MSW. Our work emphasises how local topography, tree size and species wood density together mediate cyclone damage to tropical forests, facilitating better predictions of the impacts of such disturbances in an increasingly windier world.

Ämnesord

LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPER  -- Lantbruksvetenskap, skogsbruk och fiske -- Skogsvetenskap (hsv//swe)
AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES  -- Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries -- Forest Science (hsv//eng)

Nyckelord

hurricane
mechanical failure
snapping
storm
tree
tropical cyclones
tropics
typhoon
uprooting

Publikations- och innehållstyp

ref (ämneskategori)
art (ämneskategori)

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