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Ensemble Modeling o...
Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management
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- Meier, H. E. Markus (author)
- Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Institute, Sweden
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- Andersson, Helen C. (author)
- Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Institute, Sweden
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- Arheimer, Berit (author)
- Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Institute, Sweden
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- Donnelly, Chantal (author)
- Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Institute, Sweden
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- Eilola, Kari (author)
- Swedish Meteorol and Hydrol Institute, Sweden
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- Gustafsson, Bo G. (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Baltic Nest Institute,Stockholm University, Sweden
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- Kotwicki, Lech (author)
- Polish Academic Science, Poland
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Neset, Tina-Simone (author)
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- Niiranen, Susa (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Stockholm Resilience Centre,Stockholm University, Sweden
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- Piwowarczyk, Joanna (author)
- Polish Academic Science, Poland
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- Savchuk, Oleg P. (author)
- Stockholms universitet,Baltic Nest Institute,Stockholm University, Sweden
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- Schenk, Frederik (author)
- Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Germany
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- Weslawski, Jan Marcin (author)
- Polish Academic Science, Poland
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- Zorita, Eduardo (author)
- Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Germany
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- Schmid Neset, Tina (author)
- Linköpings universitet,Tema vatten i natur och samhälle,Filosofiska fakulteten,Centrum för klimatpolitisk forskning
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(creator_code:org_t)
- 2014-01-12
- 2014
- English.
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In: Ambio. - : Springer Science and Business Media LLC. - 0044-7447 .- 1654-7209. ; 43:1, s. 37-48
- Related links:
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https://doi.org/10.1...
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https://urn.kb.se/re...
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Abstract
Subject headings
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- We present a multi-model ensemble study for the Baltic Sea, and investigate the combined impact of changing climate, external nutrient supply, and fisheries on the marine ecosystem. The applied regional climate system model contains state-of-the-art component models for the atmosphere, sea ice, ocean, land surface, terrestrial and marine biogeochemistry, and marine food-web. Time-dependent scenario simulations for the period 1960-2100 are performed and uncertainties of future projections are estimated. In addition, reconstructions since 1850 are carried out to evaluate the models sensitivity to external stressors on long time scales. Information from scenario simulations are used to support decision-makers and stakeholders and to raise awareness of climate change, environmental problems, and possible abatement strategies among the general public using geovisualization. It is concluded that the study results are relevant for the Baltic Sea Action Plan of the Helsinki Commission.
Subject headings
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap -- Miljövetenskap (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Earth and Related Environmental Sciences -- Environmental Sciences (hsv//eng)
- NATURVETENSKAP -- Biologi -- Ekologi (hsv//swe)
- NATURAL SCIENCES -- Biological Sciences -- Ecology (hsv//eng)
Keyword
- Baltic Sea
- Ecosystem approach to management
- Baltic Sea Action Plan
- Climate change
- Eutrophication
- Multi-model ensemble approach
- SOCIAL SCIENCES
Publication and Content Type
- ref (subject category)
- art (subject category)
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Ambio
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- By the author/editor
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Meier, H. E. Mar ...
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Andersson, Helen ...
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Arheimer, Berit
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Donnelly, Chanta ...
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Eilola, Kari
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Gustafsson, Bo G ...
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show more...
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Kotwicki, Lech
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Neset, Tina-Simo ...
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Niiranen, Susa
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Piwowarczyk, Joa ...
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Savchuk, Oleg P.
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Schenk, Frederik
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Weslawski, Jan M ...
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Zorita, Eduardo
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Schmid Neset, Ti ...
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- About the subject
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Earth and Relate ...
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and Environmental Sc ...
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- NATURAL SCIENCES
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NATURAL SCIENCES
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and Biological Scien ...
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and Ecology
- Articles in the publication
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Ambio
- By the university
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Stockholm University
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Linköping University