Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire: an expert assessment

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Fältnamn	Indikatorer	Metadata
000		18419naa a2202101 4500
001		oai:DiVA.org:umu-120651
003		SwePub
008		160518s2016 \| \|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|\|000 \|\|eng\|
009		oai:slubar.slu.se:76066
009		oai:gup.ub.gu.se/235846
009		oai:DiVA.org:su-129998
009		oai:DiVA.org:uu-295589
024	7	a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-1206512 URI
024	7	a https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/0340142 DOI
024	7	a https://res.slu.se/id/publ/760662 URI
024	7	a https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/2358462 URI
024	7	a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-1299982 URI
024	7	a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-2955892 URI
040		a (SwePub)umud (SwePub)slud (SwePub)gud (SwePub)sud (SwePub)uu
041		a engb eng
042		9 SwePub
072	7	a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072	7	a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100	1	a Abbott, Benjamin W.u Univ Rennes 1, OSUR, CNRS, UMR ECOBIO 6553, F-35014 Rennes, France.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
245	1 0	a Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire :b an expert assessment
264		c 2016-03-07
264	1	b IOP Publishing,c 2016
338		a electronic2 rdacarrier
520		a As the permafrost region warms, its large organic carbon pool will be increasingly vulnerable to decomposition, combustion, and hydrologic export. Models predict that some portion of this release will be offset by increased production of Arctic and boreal biomass; however, the lack of robust estimates of net carbon balance increases the risk of further overshooting international emissions targets. Precise empirical or model-based assessments of the critical factors driving carbon balance are unlikely in the near future, so to address this gap, we present estimates from 98 permafrost-region experts of the response of biomass, wildfire, and hydrologic carbon flux to climate change. Results suggest that contrary to model projections, total permafrost-region biomass could decrease due to water stress and disturbance, factors that are not adequately incorporated in current models. Assessments indicate that end-of-the-century organic carbon release from Arctic rivers and collapsing coastlines could increase by 75% while carbon loss via burning could increase four-fold. Experts identified water balance, shifts in vegetation community, and permafrost degradation as the key sources of uncertainty in predicting future system response. In combination with previous findings, results suggest the permafrost region will become a carbon source to the atmosphere by 2100 regardless of warming scenario but that 65%-85% of permafrost carbon release can still be avoided if human emissions are actively reduced.
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Klimatforskning0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Climate Research0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciences0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//eng
650	7	a LANTBRUKSVETENSKAPERx Lantbruksvetenskap, skogsbruk och fiskex Skogsvetenskap0 (SwePub)401042 hsv//swe
650	7	a AGRICULTURAL SCIENCESx Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheriesx Forest Science0 (SwePub)401042 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Biologix Ekologi0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Biological Sciencesx Ecology0 (SwePub)106112 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Meteorologi och atmosfärforskning0 (SwePub)105082 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences0 (SwePub)105082 hsv//eng
650	7	a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Miljövetenskap0 (SwePub)105022 hsv//swe
650	7	a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Environmental Sciences0 (SwePub)105022 hsv//eng
653		a permafrost carbon
653		a Arctic
653		a boreal
653		a wildfire
653		a dissolved organic carbon
653		a particulate organic carbon
653		a coastal erosion
653		a permafrost carbon
653		a Arctic
653		a boreal
653		a wildfire
653		a dissolved organic carbon
653		a particulate organic carbon
653		a climate-change
653		a boreal forest
653		a nitrogen deposition
653		a interior alaska
653		a arctic tundra
653		a fire
653		a sequestration
653		a vulnerability
653		a ecosystems
653		a storage
653		a Environmental Sciences & Ecology
653		a Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
700	1	a Jones, Jeremy B.u Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Schuur, Edward A. G.u No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Chapin, F. Stuart, IIIu Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Bowden, William B.u Univ Vermont, Rubenstein Sch Environm & Nat Resources, Burlington, VT 05405 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Bret-Harte, M. Syndoniau Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Epstein, Howard E.u Univ Virginia, Dept Environm Sci, Charlottesville, VA 22903 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Flannigan, Michael D.u Univ Alberta, Dept Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Harms, Tamara K.u Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Hollingsworth, Teresa N.u Univ Alaska Fairbanks, PNW Res Stn, USDA Forest Serv, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Mack, Michelle C.u No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.,Ecole Prat Hautes Etud, UMR5023, CNRS Lyon 1, Lyon, France.,Univ Toronto, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a McGuire, A. Davidu Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Cooperat Fish & Wildlife Res Unit, US Geol Survey, Anchorage, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Natali, Susan M.u Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Rocha, Adrian V.u Univ Notre Dame, Dept Biol Sci, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.;Univ Notre Dame, Environm Change Initiat, Notre Dame, IN 46556 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Tank, Suzanne E.u Univ Alberta, Dept Biol Sci, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Turetsky, Merritt R.u Univ Guelph, Dept Integrat Biol, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Vonk, Jorien E.u Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Dept Earth Sci, Amsterdam, Netherlands.4 aut
700	1	a Wickland, Kimberly P.u US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.4 aut
700	1	a Aiken, George R.u US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.4 aut
700	1	a Alexander, Heather D.u Mississippi State Univ, Forest & Wildlife Res Ctr, Mississippi State, MS 39762 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Amon, Rainer M. W.u Texas A&M Univ, Galveston, TX USA.4 aut
700	1	a Benscoter, Brian W.u Florida Atlantic Univ, Boca Raton, FL 33431 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Bergeron, Yvesu Univ Quebec Abitibi Temiscamingue, Forest Res Inst, Rouyn Noranda, PQ, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Bishop, Kevinu Uppsala universitet,Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för vatten och miljö,Department of Aquatic Sciences and Assessment,Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära,wedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Aquat Sci & Assessment, S-90183 Umea, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:uu)kevbi703
700	1	a Blarquez, Olivieru Univ Montreal, Dept Geog, Montreal, PQ H3C 3J7, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Bond-Lamberty, Benu Pacific NW Natl Lab, Richland, WA 99352 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Breen, Amy L.u Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Int Arctic Res Ctr, Scenarios Network Alaska & Arctic Planning, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Buffam, Ishiu Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för skogens ekologi och skötsel,Department of Forest Ecology and Management,Univ Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA.4 aut0 (Swepub:slu)51861
700	1	a Cai, Yihuau Xiamen Univ, State Key Lab Marine Environm Sci, Xiamen, Peoples R China.4 aut
700	1	a Carcaillet, Christopheru Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Syst Ecol, Amsterdam, Netherlands.,Univ Minnesota, Dept Ecol Evolut & Behav, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA.,Univ Lapland, Arctic Ctr, Rovaniemi, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Carey, Sean K.u McMaster Univ, Hamilton, ON L8S 4L8, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Chen, Jing M.4 aut
700	1	a Chen, Han Y. H.u Lakehead Univ, Fac Nat Resources Management, Thunder Bay, ON P7B 5E1, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Christensen, Torben R.u Lund Univ, Arctic Res Ctr, S-22100 Lund, Sweden.;Aarhus Univ, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark.4 aut
700	1	a Cooper, Lee W.u Univ Maryland, Ctr Environm Sci, Bethesda, MD USA.4 aut
700	1	a Cornelissen, J. Hans C.4 aut
700	1	a de Groot, William J.u Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a DeLuca, Thomas H.u Univ Washington, Sch Environm & Forest Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Dorrepaal, Ellenu Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC) ; Arcum,Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:umu)eldo0004
700	1	a Fetcher, Nedu Wilkes Univ, Inst Environm Sci & Sustainabil, Wilkes Barre, PA 18766 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Finlay, Jacques C.4 aut
700	1	a Forbes, Bruce C.4 aut
700	1	a French, Nancy H. F.u Michigan Technol Univ, Michigan Tech Res Inst, Houghton, MI 49931 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Gauthier, Sylvieu Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Girardin, Martin P.u Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Goetz, Scott J.u Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Goldammer, Johann G.u Max Planck Inst Chem, Global Fire Monitoring Ctr, Berlin, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Gough, Laurau Towson Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Towson, MD USA.4 aut
700	1	a Grogan, Paulu Queens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Guo, Laodongu Univ Wisconsin Milwaukee, Sch Freshwater Sci, Milwaukee, WI USA.4 aut
700	1	a Higuera, Philip E.u Univ Montana, Dept Ecosyst & Conservat Sci, Missoula, MT 59812 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Hinzman, Larryu Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Hu, Feng Shengu Univ Illinois, Dept Plant Biol, Chicago, IL 60680 USA.;Univ Illinois, Dept Geol, Chicago, IL 60680 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Hugelius, Gustafu Stockholms universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi,Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:su)chuge
700	1	a Jafarov, Elchin E.u Univ Colorado Boulder, Inst Arctic & Alpine Res, Boulder, CO USA.4 aut
700	1	a Jandt, Randiu Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Fire Sci Consortium, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Johnstone, Jill F.u Univ Saskatchewan, Dept Biol, Saskatoon, SK S7N 0W0, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Karlsson, Janu Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC),Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:umu)jaka0003
700	1	a Kasischke, Eric S.u Univ Maryland, Dept Geog Sci, Bethesda, MD USA.4 aut
700	1	a Kattner, Gerhardu Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Berlin, Germany.4 aut
700	1	a Kelly, Ryanu Neptune & Co Inc, North Wales, PA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Keuper, Fridau Umeå universitet,Institutionen för ekologi, miljö och geovetenskap,Climate Impacts Research Centre (CIRC),Umea Univ, Dept Ecol & Environm Sci, Climate Impacts Res Ctr, S-90187 Umea, Sweden.;INRA, AgroImpact UPR1158, New York, NY USA.4 aut0 (Swepub:umu)frke0005
700	1	a Kling, George W.u Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Kortelainen, Pirkkou Finnish Environm Inst, Helsinki, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Kouki, Jariu Univ Eastern Finland, Sch Forest Sci, Joensuu, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Kuhry, Peteru Stockholms universitet,Institutionen för naturgeografi,Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:su)pkuhr
700	1	a Laudon, Hjalmaru Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences,Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet,Institutionen för skogens ekologi och skötsel,Department of Forest Ecology and Management,Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Forest Ecol & Management, S-90183 Umea, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:slu)48717
700	1	a Laurion, Isabelleu Inst Natl Rech Sci, Ctr Eau Terre Environm, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Macdonald, Robie W.u Inst Ocean Sci, Dept Fisheries & Oceans, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Mann, Paul J.u Northumbria Univ, Dept Geog, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 8ST, Tyne & Wear, England.4 aut
700	1	a Martikainen, Pertti J.u Univ Eastern Finland, Dept Environm & Biol Sci, Joensuu, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a McClelland, James W.u Univ Texas Austin, Inst Marine Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Molau, Ulf,d 1951u Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för biologi och miljövetenskap,Department of Biological and Environmental Sciences,Univ Gothenburg, Dept Biol & Environm Sci, Gothenburg, Sweden.4 aut0 (Swepub:gu)xmoulf
700	1	a Oberbauer, Steven F.u Florida Int Univ, Dept Biol Sci, Miami, FL 33199 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Olefeldt, Davidu Univ Alberta, Dept Revewable Resources, Edmonton, AB T6G 2M7, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Pare, Davidu Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, Laurentian Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Parisien, Marc-Andreu Nat Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Serv, No Forestry Ctr, Toronto, ON, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Payette, Sergeu Univ Laval, Ctr Etud Nord, Quebec City, PQ G1K 7P4, Canada.4 aut
700	1	a Peng, Changhuiu Univ Quebec, Ctr CEF, ESCER, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P8, Canada.;Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Forestry, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Xian, Peoples R China.4 aut
700	1	a Pokrovsky, Oleg S.u CNRS, Georesources & Environm, Toulouse, France.;Tomsk State Univ, BIO GEO CLIM Lab, Tomsk, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Rastetter, Edward B.u Marine Biol Lab, Ctr Ecosyst, Woods Hole, MA 02543 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Raymond, Peter A.u Yale Univ, Sch Forestry & Environm Studies, New Haven, CT 06520 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Raynolds, Martha K.u Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Rein, Guillermou Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Mech Engn, London SW7 2AZ, England.4 aut
700	1	a Reynolds, James F.u Lanzhou Univ, Sch Life Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China.;Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm, Durham, NC 27706 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Robards, Martinu Arctic Beringia Program, Wildlife Conservat Soc, New York, NY USA.4 aut
700	1	a Rogers, Brendan M.u Woods Hole Res Ctr, Woods Hole, MA USA.4 aut
700	1	a Schaedel, Christinau No Arizona Univ, Ctr Ecosyst Sci & Soc, Flagstaff, AZ 86011 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Schaefer, Kevinu Univ Colorado Boulder, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Natl Snow & Ice Data Ctr, Boulder, CO USA.4 aut
700	1	a Schmidt, Inger K.u Univ Copenhagen, Dept Geosci & Nat Resource Management, DK-1168 Copenhagen, Denmark.4 aut
700	1	a Shvidenko, Anatolyu Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria.;Sukachev Inst Forest, Moscow, Russia.4 aut
700	1	a Sky, Jasperu Cambridge Ctr Climate Change Res, Cambridge, England.4 aut
700	1	a Spencer, Robert G. M.u Florida State Univ, Dept Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Starr, Gregoryu Univ Alabama, Dept Biol Sci, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487 USA.4 aut
700	1	a Striegl, Robert G.u US Geol Survey, Natl Res Program, Boulder, CO USA.4 aut
700	1	a Teisserenc, Romanu Univ Toulouse, CNRS, INPT, ECOLAB,UPS, Toulouse, France.4 aut
700	1	a Tranvik, Lars J.u Uppsala universitet,Limnologi4 aut0 (Swepub:uu)larstran
700	1	a Virtanen, Tarmou Univ Helsinki, Dept Environm Sci, FIN-00014 Helsinki, Finland.4 aut
700	1	a Welker, Jeffrey M.u Univ Alaska Anchorage, Anchorage, AK USA.4 aut
700	1	a Zimov, Sergeiu Russian Acad Sci, Northeast Sci Stn, Moscow 117901, Russia.4 aut
710	2	a Univ Rennes 1, OSUR, CNRS, UMR ECOBIO 6553, F-35014 Rennes, France.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.b Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Inst Arctic Biol, Fairbanks, AK USA.;Univ Alaska Fairbanks, Dept Biology& Wildlife, Fairbanks, AK USA.4 org
710	2	a Sveriges lantbruksuniversitet
773	0	t Environmental Research Lettersd : IOP Publishingg 11:3q 11:3x 1748-9326
856	4	u https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014y Fulltext
856	4	u https://umu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:950628/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print
856	4	u https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014/pdf
856	4	u https://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:934155/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print
856	4 8	u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-120651
856	4 8	u https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014
856	4 8	u https://res.slu.se/id/publ/76066
856	4 8	u https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/235846
856	4 8	u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-129998
856	4 8	u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-295589

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