WFRF:(Martin Juan J.)
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| Fältnamn | Indikatorer | Metadata |
|---|---|---|
| 000 | 27966naa a2205929 4500 | |
| 001 | oai:DiVA.org:uu-299966 | |
| 003 | SwePub | |
| 008 | 160801s2016 | |||||||||||000 ||eng| | |
| 009 | oai:prod.swepub.kib.ki.se:134028994 | |
| 009 | oai:gup.ub.gu.se/248987 | |
| 009 | oai:DiVA.org:du-23070 | |
| 024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-2999662 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30087-X2 DOI |
| 024 | 7 | a http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:1340289942 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/2489872 URI |
| 024 | 7 | a https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:du-230702 URI |
| 040 | a (SwePub)uud (SwePub)kid (SwePub)gud (SwePub)du | |
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| 100 | 1 | a Wang, Haidong4 aut |
| 245 | 1 0 | a Estimates of global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980-2015 :b the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. |
| 264 | 1 | b Elsevier,c 2016 |
| 338 | a electronic2 rdacarrier | |
| 500 | a Funding: We thank the countless individuals who have contributed to the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2015 in various capacities. We specifically thank Jeffrey Eaton and John Stover. HW and CJLM received funding for this study from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; the National Institute of Mental Health, National Institutes of Health (NIH; R01MH110163); and the National Institute on Aging, NIH (P30AG047845). LJAR acknowledges the support of Qatar National Research Fund (NPRP 04-924-3-251) who provided the main funding for generating the data provided to the GBD-Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation effort. BPAQ acknowledges institutional support from PRONABEC (National Program of Scholarship and Educational Loan), provided by the Peruvian government. DB is supported by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (grant number OPP1068048). JDN was supported in his contribution to this work by a Fellowship from Fundacao para a Ciencia e a Tecnologia, Portugal (SFRH/BPD/92934/2013). KD is supported by a Wellcome Trust Fellowship in Public Health and Tropical Medicine (grant number 099876). TF received financial support from the Swiss National Science Foundation (SNSF; project number P300P3-154634). AG acknowledges funding from Sistema Nacional de Investigadores de Panama-SNI. PJ is supported by Wellcome Trust-DBT India Alliance Clinical and Public Health Intermediate Fellowship. MK receives research support from the Academy of Finland, the Swedish Research Council, Alzheimerfonden, Alzheimer's Research & Prevention Foundation, Center for Innovative Medicine (CIMED) at Karolinska Institutet South Campus, AXA Research Fund, Wallenberg Clinical Scholars Award from the Knut och Alice Wallenbergs Foundation, and the Sheika Salama Bint Hamdan Al Nahyan Foundation. AK's work was supported by the Miguel Servet contract financed by the CP13/00150 and PI15/00862 projects, integrated into the National R&D&I and funded by the ISCIII (General Branch Evaluation and Promotion of Health Research), and the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF-FEDER). SML is funded by a National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Clinician Scientist Fellowship (grant number NIHR/CS/010/014). HJL reports grants from the NIHR, EU Innovative Medicines Initiative, Centre for Strategic & International Studies, and WHO. WM is Program analyst, Population and Development, in the Peru Country Office of the United Nations Population Fund, which does not necessarily endorse this study. For UOM, funding from the German National Cohort Consortium (O1ER1511D) is gratefully acknowledged. KR reports grants from NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, NIHR Career Development Fellowship, and Oxford Martin School during the conduct of the study. GR acknowledges that work related to this paper has been done on the behalf of the GBD Genitourinary Disease Expert Group supported by the International Society of Nephrology (ISN). ISS reports grants from FAPESP (Brazilian public agency). RSS receives institutional support from Universidad de Ciencias Aplicadas y Ambientales, UDCA, Bogota Colombia. SS receives postdoctoral funding from the Fonds de la recherche en sante du Quebec (FRSQ), including its renewal. RTS was supported in part by grant number PROMETEOII/2015/021 from Generalitat Valenciana and the national grant PI14/00894 from ISCIII-FEDER. PY acknowledges support from Strategic Public Policy Research (HKU7003-SPPR-12). | |
| 520 | a BACKGROUND: Timely assessment of the burden of HIV/AIDS is essential for policy setting and programme evaluation. In this report from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD 2015), we provide national estimates of levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART), and mortality for 195 countries and territories from 1980 to 2015.METHODS: For countries without high-quality vital registration data, we estimated prevalence and incidence with data from antenatal care clinics and population-based seroprevalence surveys, and with assumptions by age and sex on initial CD4 distribution at infection, CD4 progression rates (probability of progression from higher to lower CD4 cell-count category), on and off antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality, and mortality from all other causes. Our estimation strategy links the GBD 2015 assessment of all-cause mortality and estimation of incidence and prevalence so that for each draw from the uncertainty distribution all assumptions used in each step are internally consistent. We estimated incidence, prevalence, and death with GBD versions of the Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) and Spectrum software originally developed by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS). We used an open-source version of EPP and recoded Spectrum for speed, and used updated assumptions from systematic reviews of the literature and GBD demographic data. For countries with high-quality vital registration data, we developed the cohort incidence bias adjustment model to estimate HIV incidence and prevalence largely from the number of deaths caused by HIV recorded in cause-of-death statistics. We corrected these statistics for garbage coding and HIV misclassification.FINDINGS: Global HIV incidence reached its peak in 1997, at 3·3 million new infections (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 3·1-3·4 million). Annual incidence has stayed relatively constant at about 2·6 million per year (range 2·5-2·8 million) since 2005, after a period of fast decline between 1997 and 2005. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has been steadily increasing and reached 38·8 million (95% UI 37·6-40·4 million) in 2015. At the same time, HIV/AIDS mortality has been declining at a steady pace, from a peak of 1·8 million deaths (95% UI 1·7-1·9 million) in 2005, to 1·2 million deaths (1·1-1·3 million) in 2015. We recorded substantial heterogeneity in the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS across countries. Although many countries have experienced decreases in HIV/AIDS mortality and in annual new infections, other countries have had slowdowns or increases in rates of change in annual new infections.INTERPRETATION: Scale-up of ART and prevention of mother-to-child transmission has been one of the great successes of global health in the past two decades. However, in the past decade, progress in reducing new infections has been slow, development assistance for health devoted to HIV has stagnated, and resources for health in low-income countries have grown slowly. Achievement of the new ambitious goals for HIV enshrined in Sustainable Development Goal 3 and the 90-90-90 UNAIDS targets will be challenging, and will need continued efforts from governments and international agencies in the next 15 years to end AIDS by 2030. | |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Klinisk medicinx Infektionsmedicin0 (SwePub)302092 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Clinical Medicinex Infectious Medicine0 (SwePub)302092 hsv//eng |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Hälsovetenskap0 (SwePub)3032 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Health Sciences0 (SwePub)3032 hsv//eng |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICIN OCH HÄLSOVETENSKAPx Klinisk medicin0 (SwePub)3022 hsv//swe |
| 650 | 7 | a MEDICAL AND HEALTH SCIENCESx Clinical Medicine0 (SwePub)3022 hsv//eng |
| 653 | a projection package; systematic analysis; unaids estimation; male circumcision; 188 countries; infection;prevention; epidemic; model; trial | |
| 653 | a Hälsa och välfärd | |
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| 700 | 1 | a Pereira, Claudia C4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Perico, Norberto4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Pesudovs, Konrad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Petzold, Max,d 1973u Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för medicin, avdelningen för samhällsmedicin och folkhälsa,Institutionen för medicin, avdelningen för samhällsmedicin och folkhälsa, enheten för hälsometri,Institute of Medicine, School of Public Health and Community Medicine,Institute of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Community Medicine, Health Metrics4 aut0 (Swepub:gu)xpemax |
| 700 | 1 | a Phillips, Michael Robert4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Pillay, Julian David4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Plass, Dietrich4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Polinder, Suzanne4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Pourmalek, Farshad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Prokop, David M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Qorbani, Mostafa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rafay, Anwar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahimi, Kazem4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahman, Mahfuzar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rahman, Sajjad Ur4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rai, Rajesh Kumar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rajsic, Sasa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ram, Usha4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rana, Saleem M4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rao, Paturi Vishnupriya4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Remuzzi, Giuseppe4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Rojas-Rueda, David4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ronfani, Luca4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Roshandel, Gholamreza4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Roy, Ambuj4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ruhago, George Mugambage4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Saeedi, Mohammad Yahya4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sagar, Rajesh4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Saleh, Muhammad Muhammad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sanabria, Juan R4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Santos, Itamar S4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sarmiento-Suarez, Rodrigo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sartorius, Benn4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sawhney, Monika4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Schutte, Aletta E4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Schwebel, David C4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Seedat, Soraya4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sepanlou, Sadaf G4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Servan-Mori, Edson E4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Shaikh, Masood Ali4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sharma, Rajesh4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a She, Jun4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sheikhbahaei, Sara4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Shen, Jiabin4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Shibuya, Kenji4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Shin, Hwashin Hyun4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Silpakit, Naris4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Silva, Diego Augusto Santos4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Simard, Edgar P4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sindi, Shireen4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Singh, Jasvinder A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Singh, Om Prakash4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Singh, Prashant Kumar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Skirbekk, Vegard4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sliwa, Karen4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Soneji, Samir4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sorensen, Reed J D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Soriano, Joan B4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Soti, David O4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Stathopoulou, Vasiliki4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Steel, Nicholas4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sunguya, Bruno F4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Swaminathan, Soumya4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Sykes, Bryan L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Talongwa, Roberto Tchio4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tavakkoli, Mohammad4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Taye, Bineyam4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tedla, Bemnet Amare4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tekle, Tesfaye4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Shifa, Girma Temam4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Temesgen, Awoke Misganaw4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tesfay, Fisaha Haile4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tessema, Gizachew Assefa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thapa, Kiran4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thomson, Alan J4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Thorne-Lyman, Andrew L4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Topor-Madry, Roman4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Towbin, Jeffrey Allen4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tran, Bach Xuan4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Dimbuene, Zacharie Tsala4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tsilimparis, Nikolaos4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Tura, Abera Kenay4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Uneke, Chigozie Jesse4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Uthman, Olalekan A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Venketasubramanian, N4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vladimirov, Sergey K4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Vollset, Stein Emil4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wang, Linhong4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Weiderpass, Elisabeteu Karolinska Institutet4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Weintraub, Robert G4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Werdecker, Andrea4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Westerman, Ronny4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wijeratne, Tissa4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wilkinson, James D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wiysonge, Charles Shey4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wolfe, Charles D A4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Won, Sungho4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Wong, John Q4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Xu, Gelin4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yadav, Ajit Kumar4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yakob, Bereket4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yalew, Ayalnesh Zemene4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yano, Yuichiro4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yaseri, Mehdi4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yebyo, Henock Gebremedhin4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yip, Paul4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yonemoto, Naohiro4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yoon, Seok-Jun4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Younis, Mustafa Z4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yu, Chuanhua4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Yu, Shicheng4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zaidi, Zoubida4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zeeb, Hajo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zhang, Hao4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zhao, Yong4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zodpey, Sanjay4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zoeckler, Leo4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Zuhlke, Liesl Joanna4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Lopez, Alan D4 aut |
| 700 | 1 | a Murray, Christopher J L4 aut |
| 710 | 2 | a Karolinska Institutetb Kardiovaskulär epidemiologi4 org |
| 773 | 0 | t The lancet. HIVd : Elsevierg 3:8, s. e361-e387q 3:8<e361-e387x 2352-3018 |
| 856 | 4 | u https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30087-Xy Fulltext |
| 856 | 4 | u https://uu.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:950523/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print |
| 856 | 4 | u https://du.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:968775/FULLTEXT01.pdfx primaryx Raw objecty fulltext:print |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:uu:diva-299966 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-3018(16)30087-X |
| 856 | 4 8 | u http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:134028994 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/248987 |
| 856 | 4 8 | u https://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:du-23070 |
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