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WFRF:(Zhang Hongwen)
 

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LIBRIS Formathandbok  (Information om MARC21)
FältnamnIndikatorerMetadata
00003385naa a2200349 4500
001oai:gup.ub.gu.se/263119
003SwePub
008240528s2018 | |||||||||||000 ||eng|
024a https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/2631192 URI
024a https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.52432 DOI
040 a (SwePub)gu
041 a eng
042 9 SwePub
072 7a ref2 swepub-contenttype
072 7a art2 swepub-publicationtype
100a Gao, Yanhong4 aut
2451 0a Comparison between past and future extreme precipitations simulated by global and regional climate models over the Tibetan Plateau
264 c 2017-08-22
264 1b Wiley,c 2018
520 a Past studies on regional climate change over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) have mainly looked at changes in the mean climate. This study focuses on past and future extreme precipitations, simulated by global and regional climate models over the TP. To assess the influence of large-scale forcing on dynamic downscaling using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, downscaling results for the historical period (1980–2005) with ERA-Interim reanalysis and CCSM4 as forcings are evaluated against a gridded observational data set. These are inter-compared before future projections for the period 2005–2100 under two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). The followings are obtained: (1) the reanalysis greatly overestimates not only the mean, but also extreme precipitation. The overestimation in CCSM4 is even larger than that of the reanalysis. (2) The two downscalings outperform their forcings, reflected by reduced overestimation for extreme precipitation frequency, increased spatial pattern correlations and more accurate linear trends, especially for the downscaling driven by CCSM. This demonstrates the constraining power of the fine-scale modelling and the importance of more realistic representations of surface forcing and related processes in the TP. (3) CCSM4 projects a general wetting across the whole TP with increases of heavy precipitation as well as the wetting intensification with warming. WRF also projects an overall wetting, but the wetting is less sensitive to the warming and there is more of an increase in light precipitation frequency. More importantly, a diverse pattern with wetting in the north and drying in the south is found in the dynamical downscaling in contrast to the uniform wetting in its forcing.
650 7a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskap0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//swe
650 7a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciences0 (SwePub)1052 hsv//eng
650 7a NATURVETENSKAPx Geovetenskap och miljövetenskapx Klimatforskning0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//swe
650 7a NATURAL SCIENCESx Earth and Related Environmental Sciencesx Climate Research0 (SwePub)105012 hsv//eng
700a Xiao, Linhong4 aut
700a Chen, Deliang,d 1961u Gothenburg University,Göteborgs universitet,Institutionen för geovetenskaper,Department of Earth Sciences4 aut0 (Swepub:gu)xchede
700a Xu, Jianwei4 aut
700a Zhang, Hongwen4 aut
710a Göteborgs universitetb Institutionen för geovetenskaper4 org
773t International Journal of Climatologyd : Wileyg 38:3, s. 1285-1297q 38:3<1285-1297x 0899-8418x 1097-0088
8564 8u https://gup.ub.gu.se/publication/263119
8564 8u https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5243

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